25.02.2021
Constituency 87: socio-political mood
- A survey conducted by Rating Group from 14 to 22 February 2021 among residents of single-mandate electoral district No. 87 showed that respondents evaluated the situation in their local communities more positively than the overall situation in the region or the country. Only 16% believed the country was moving in the right direction, while 69% thought the opposite. Thirty-five percent said the region was developing in the right direction, whereas 48% disagreed. By contrast, 49% of residents believed that things in their own localities were going well, and 39% thought the opposite. Younger and more affluent respondents offered more optimistic evaluations at all levels.
- Among key spheres of life, respondents rated educational institutions, road conditions, and safety relatively better. Around 60% were satisfied with the work of schools and kindergartens, while one-third were dissatisfied. Fifty-one percent were satisfied with the condition of roads, and 47% were not. Regarding safety and crime prevention, 48% expressed satisfaction, and 44% expressed dissatisfaction.
- Forty-one percent were satisfied with the environmental situation, while 55% were dissatisfied. Satisfaction with citizen participation in local decision-making reached 38%, while 47% were dissatisfied. Social protection received 34% satisfaction and 57% dissatisfaction. Support for young families was rated positively by 32% and negatively by 57%. Healthcare received 31% satisfaction and 63% dissatisfaction. Only 29% were satisfied with citizen participation in decision-making at the national level, while 55% were dissatisfied. Twenty-one percent were satisfied with local anti-corruption efforts, while 60% were not. Job creation generated satisfaction among only 14% of respondents, while 82% were dissatisfied. Development of agriculture received 12% satisfaction and 81% dissatisfaction.
- Sixty-eight percent knew that a by-election for a Member of Parliament would take place in their district on 28 March 2021, while 32% were unaware of it.
- Among the candidates, Oleksandr Shevchenko was the frontrunner, supported by 42.8% of those who had decided and intended to vote. Ruslan Koshulynskyi received 21.4%, Vasyl Virastiuk 15.8%, and Marusia Zvirobiy 8.1%. Support for other candidates was significantly lower: Sviatoslav Nykorovych received 3.7%, Yurii Holinei 2.3%, Mykhailo Noniak 1.5%, and Stepan Bratsiun 0.4%. Around 12% remained undecided.
- In the party ranking for parliamentary elections, VO Svoboda led with 21.6% among those who had decided and intended to vote. European Solidarity received 15.7%, Za Maybutnie 15.1%, Batkivshchyna 12.9%, and Servant of the People 11.5%. Support for all other parties was below 4%. About 19% of respondents had not yet decided.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of single-mandate constituency No. 87 (Ivano-Frankivsk region) aged 18 and older. The sample is representative in terms of age and gender.
- Sample size: 2,000 respondents.
- Survey method: face-to-face formalised interviews.
- Research representativeness error is no more than 2.2%.
- Research period: 14-22 February 2021.
- Research client: PGR Consulting Group LLC.
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