16.02.2022
Socio-political moods of the Ukrainians (February 12-13, 2022)
- According to a survey conducted by the Rating Sociological Group, 43% of Ukrainians believe that Ukraine's international policy is moving in the right direction, 46% believe it is moving in the wrong direction, and 11% were unable to answer. At the same time, regarding the situation in the country as a whole, 67% believe that it is moving in the wrong direction, 25% believe it is moving in the right direction, and 7% are undecided.
- Half of Ukrainians are confident that the recent visits of international leaders to Ukraine are beneficial for the country, while a quarter believe that they have no impact. At the same time, only 17% think that such visits are more likely to harm Ukraine.
- About 60% of respondents believe that the US and the UK are defending Ukraine's interests in the Donbas negotiations, while a third believe that these countries have a neutral position.
- Fifty-five per cent of respondents believe that the OSCE takes a neutral position in the negotiation process, 28% believe that it defends Ukraine's interests, and 5% believe that it defends Russia's interests.
- 58% of respondents believe that France has a neutral position, 26% believe it defends Ukraine's interests, and 8% believe it defends Russia's interests.
- 69% of respondents believe that Germany has a neutral position, 13% believe it defends Ukraine's interests, and 13% believe it defends Russia's interests.
- 67% of respondents said they were superficially familiar with the content of the Minsk agreements, and only 12% said they were very familiar with their content. One in five is completely unfamiliar with the content of the agreements, although this figure has fallen over the last four years from 39% to 21%.
- Most respondents believe that Ukraine should revise the Minsk agreements and sign new ones (63%), and this figure is increasing. Only 11% believe that Ukraine should fulfil all the requirements, while 18% believe that Ukraine should withdraw from the negotiation process altogether.
- Most Ukrainians surveyed blame Russia for the failure of the Minsk agreements (57%), while 10% blame representatives of the so-called LNR and DNR, and only 12% blame Ukraine. 12% were unable to say who was to blame.
- Volodymyr Zelenskyi currently leads the presidential ranking, with 24.6% support among those who intend to vote and have already made their choice. He is followed by Petro Poroshenko – 16.8%, Yulia Tymoshenko – 9.9%, and Yurii Boiko – 8.3%.
Yevhen Murayev is supported by 6.9%, Ihor Smeshko – 6.6%, Dmytro Razumkov – 6.2%, Volodymyr Groysman – 5.7%, Oleh Liashko – 3.1%. Support for other candidates does not exceed 3%. Compared to the previous wave, support for Zelenskyi has slightly increased, support for Boiko has somewhat decreased, while support levels for other candidates have remained nearly unchanged. - Petro Poroshenko continues to top the anti-rating: 43% of respondents would not vote for him under any circumstances.Boiko is rejected by about 36%, Tymoshenko and Zelenskyi — by 33% each, Liashko — 23%, Klychko and Murayev — 20% each, Yatseniuk and Tyahnybok — 15%, Groysman — 13%.
- The Servant of the People party is currently supported by 18.3% of those who intend to vote and have already made their choice, while European Solidarity stands at 17.1%. Batkivshchyna is supported by 10.8%, and the Opposition Platform – For Life receives 9.7%. Razumkov’s “Smart Politics” has 5.9%, Murayev’s “Nashi” holds 5.5%. Prytula’s “24 August” is supported by 5.3%, Strength and Honor by 5.2%, the Radical Party by 4.7%, and Groysman’s Ukrainian Strategy by 4.0%. Sharii’s Party receives 3.4%, while UDAR of Vitalii Klychko and Svoboda each hold 2.8%. Support for all other political forces does not exceed 2%.
Methodology
- Audience: Ukrainian citizens aged 18 and older in all regions except the temporarily occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender and type of settlement.
- Sample size: 2,000 respondents.
- Survey method: CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews).
- The margin of error for the study with a confidence level of 0.95 is no more than 2.2%.
- Fieldwork dates: 12-13 February 2022.
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