20.12.2021
Social and political mood of the population (14-16 December 2021)
- According to a survey conducted by the Rating Group, 31% of Ukrainians believe that 2022 will be better than the previous year. Another third think that nothing will change, and the same number believe that next year will be worse than 2021. Last year, expectations were more optimistic: at that time, 52% expected 2021 to be better than 2020. In general, younger respondents (under 40) expect the coming year to be better, while older respondents think that nothing will change or that things will get worse.
- Overall, 67% of Ukrainians believe that the country is moving in the wrong direction, 24% believe it is moving in the right direction, and 9% are undecided.
- The most important problems facing the country are corruption (55%) and the war in Donbas (51%). Other issues include the economic crisis (32%), the incompetence of the authorities (31%), the coronavirus epidemic (27%), the influence of oligarchs on politics (24%) and poor-quality healthcare (24%).
- The trust rating among politicians is led by Volodymyr Zelenskyi, who is trusted by 38% of respondents, while 61% do not trust him. The next highest level of trust is observed for Volodymyr Groysman, trusted by 32%, with 60% not trusting him. Dmytro Razumkov is trusted by 30%, while 41% do not trust him and another quarter of respondents say they do not know him. Yuliia Tymoshenko is trusted by 25% and not trusted by 73%. Petro Poroshenko is trusted by 25% and not trusted by 75%. Yurii Boiko receives 22% trust, 61% distrust, and 15% say they do not know him.
- A majority of respondents support the dissolution of the Verkhovna Rada and the Cabinet of Ministers: 63% and 58%, respectively. At the same time, support for the resignation and early election of the President is somewhat lower: 43% favor resignation, while 54% are opposed.
- A quarter of respondents consider the National Security and Defence Council to be a strong body, a third consider it weak, and another third consider it neither strong nor weak. Sixteen per cent consider the president to be strong, 40% consider him weak, and another 43% consider him neither strong nor weak. Eight percent consider the prime minister to be strong, 42% consider him to be weak, and another 42% consider him to be neither strong nor weak. Six percent consider parliament to be strong, 61% consider it to be weak, and another 31% consider it to be neither strong nor weak.
- Fifteen per cent consider the opposition in parliament to be strong, 43% consider it to be weak, and another 35% consider it to be neither strong nor weak. Eleven per cent consider the coalition to be strong, 44% consider it to be weak, and another 33% consider it to be neither strong nor weak.
- The party ranking is led by Servant of the People, which is supported by 19.1% of those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. European Solidarity stands at 13.5%, Batkivshchyna at 11.2%, and Opposition Platform – For Life at 10.5%. The Strength and Honor party is supported by 7.3%, Razumkov’s Smart Politics by 6.2%, Ukrainian Strategy of Groysman by 6.0%, Murayev’s Nashi by 5.6%, the Radical Party by 4.2%, UDAR of Vitalii Klychko by 3.8%, Sharii’s Party by 3.4%, and Svoboda by 3.0%. Support for all other political forces is below 2%.
- In a hypothetical “Prime Minister election,” 14% of respondents would choose V. Groysman, 12% would choose Yu. Tymoshenko, 11% — Yu. Boiko, 10% — D. Razumkov, and 9% — A. Yatseniuk. Ye. Murayev would receive 7%, I. Smeshko and P. Poroshenko — 6% each, O. Liashko — 5%. The current Prime Minister D. Shmyhal would be chosen by 3%, and O. Honcharuk by 2%. Another 5% would choose a different candidate.
- At the same time, one-third of respondents believe that among recent prime ministers, V. Groysman would be the most capable of improving the current economic situation. One-quarter consider that Yu. Tymoshenko or A. Yatseniuk could do so; one in five holds this view regarding M. Azarov; and one in six regarding V. Yushchenko. V. Yanukovych, D. Shmyhal, and A. Kinakh are each chosen by 8%, Yu. Yekhanurov by 7%, and O. Honcharuk by 5%. 8% would not choose any of the candidates.
Methodology
- Audience: Ukrainian citizens aged 18 and older in all regions except for the temporarily occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender and type of settlement.
- Sample size: 2,000 respondents.
- Survey method: CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews).
- The margin of error for the study with a confidence level of 0.95 is no more than 2.2%.
- Fieldwork dates: 14-16 December 2021.
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