27.07.2021
Social and political mood of the population (23-25 July 2021)
- A survey conducted by Rating Group on 23–25 July 2021 shows that one quarter of respondents (25%) believe the country is moving in the right direction, while 67% see the direction as wrong and 8% were unable to answer. Younger respondents are somewhat more likely to view the country’s trajectory positively.
- Volodymyr Zelensky remains the most trusted political figure: 45% trust him and 52% do not. Yulia Tymoshenko is trusted by 31% and distrusted by 68%; Yuriy Boyko is trusted by 25% and not trusted by 57%. Petro Poroshenko receives 26% trust and 72% distrust. Viktor Medvedchuk is trusted by 18% and distrusted by 70%. Denys Shmyhal is trusted by 16%, distrusted by 51%, and 28% say they have not heard of him.
- If a presidential election were held soon, 27.7% of those who intend to vote and have made their choice would support Zelensky. Poroshenko would receive 13.4%, Tymoshenko 11.4%, Boyko 10.1%, Ihor Smeshko 7.8%, Volodymyr Groysman 6.1%, Yevhen Murayev 6%, and Dmytro Razumkov 4.1%. Support for all other candidates is below 3%.
- Poroshenko holds the highest anti-rating: 46% would not vote for him under any circumstances. Tymoshenko’s anti-rating is 36%, Boyko’s is 34%, Zelensky’s is 29%, and Oleh Lyashko’s is 26%. About one in five respondents say they would never vote for Arseniy Yatsenyuk or Oleh Tyahnybok.
- In parliamentary preferences, Servant of the People leads with 24.1% among decided voters. European Solidarity follows with 14.3%, Batkivshchyna with 12.8%, and Opposition Platform – For Life with 12.4%. Support for other forces is significantly lower: Ukrainian Strategy of Groysman polls at 5%, and both the Radical Party and Murayev’s “Nashi” receive 4.8%. UDAR has 4.3%, Strength and Honour 4.1%, and Svoboda 3.4%, while all remaining parties poll below 3%.
- Support for granting the Tomos of autocephaly to the Orthodox Church of Ukraine stands at 45%, while 19% do not support it and 31% are indifferent. The highest support is observed in the West and Centre, among older respondents, and among those who identify as Greek Catholics or members of the OCU. Opposition Platform voters, as well as supporters of Murayev and Shariy, tend to view the Tomos negatively.
- Three-quarters of respondents (75%) consider Ukraine the successor to Kyivan Rus. Only 8% believe Russia is the successor, while 9% do not assign that status to either country. Although Ukraine is seen as the rightful successor across all age groups and most electorates, fewer than half of respondents in the East—and fewer than half of voters for Opposition Platform, Murayev, or Shariy—share this view.
- A majority of respondents (55%) disagree with Russian President Vladimir Putin’s claim that “Russians and Ukrainians are one people who belong to a single historical and spiritual space,” while 41% agree. Agreement with this statement exceeds 60% in the East and among parishioners of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church of the Moscow Patriarchate. In contrast, over 70% of residents of Western Ukraine reject this idea. More than 80% of voters for Opposition Platform, Murayev, and Shariy accept the notion of “one people.”
Methodology
- Audience: Ukrainian citizens aged 18 and older in all regions except the temporarily occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender and type of settlement.
- Survey method: CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews). Based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers.
- Sample size: 2,500 respondents.
- The margin of error for the study with a confidence level of 0.95 is no more than 2.0%.
- Fieldwork dates: 23-25 July 2021
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