10.12.2021
Social and political mood of the population (6-8 December 2021)
- The results of a survey conducted by the Rating Sociological Group on 6-8 December 2021 show that two-thirds of respondents are superficially familiar with the content of the Minsk agreements, while a quarter are completely unaware of them. Only 11% of respondents said they were well acquainted with the essence of these agreements.
- Despite this, the majority (54%) believe that the Minsk agreements need to be revised and new ones signed. 21% believe that it is necessary to withdraw from the negotiation process altogether and make decisions without the participation of international mediators. Only 12% are convinced that Ukraine should fully implement the Minsk agreements.
- Among the options for the format of negotiations to resolve the conflict in Donbas, a relative majority (45%) support the idea of expanding the ‘Normandy’ format to include the United States and the United Kingdom. 21% are in favour of direct negotiations with Russia, 12% are in favour of negotiations with representatives of the so-called DPR and LPR. Only 11% are in favour of the ‘Normandy’ format in its usual composition (Ukraine, Russia, France, Germany) being the platform for negotiations on the settlement of the conflict in Donbas.
- 56% are in favour of direct negotiations with Russia (as the only option), while 41% are against.
- 46% support the involvement of Turkey in negotiations to resolve the conflict in Donbas, while the same number are against.
- Over the past two years, the number of supporters of the idea of introducing visas with the Russian Federation has grown: today, 52% support this idea, while 44% oppose it.
- Respondents consider Canada, Lithuania, Poland, and the United Kingdom, as well as the United States and Turkey, to be Ukraine's greatest allies. Slightly fewer consider France, Germany and China to be allies, with the latter being considered more of a neutral country.
- Ukrainians mostly consider Belarus to be a hostile country towards Ukraine, with the number of such respondents more than doubling over the past year (from 22% to 48%). The majority of respondents (72%) consider Russia to be a hostile country, with only 12% considering it an ally.
- Over the past year, attitudes towards Turkey and the United Kingdom have improved significantly, while attitudes towards Belarus have deteriorated.
- If a presidential election were held in the near future, 23.5% would vote for V. Zelenskyi (among those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice). 13.4% would support P. Poroshenko, 9.9% — Yu. Tymoshenko, 9.3% — Yu. Boiko, 7.5% — D. Razumkov, 6.7% — I. Smeshko, 6.5% — Ye. Murayev, 5.5% — V. Groysman, 3.2% — O. Liashko, and 3.1% — A. Yatseniuk. Support for other candidates is below 3%.
- The anti-rating is led by P. Poroshenko, with 47% saying they would not vote for him under any circumstances. 37% would not vote for Yu. Tymoshenko, 35% — for Yu. Boiko, 33% — for V. Zelenskyi, and 22% — for O. Liashko. Every sixth to seventh respondent would not vote under any circumstances for A. Yatseniuk, V. Klychko, Ye. Murayev, V. Groysman, or O. Tyahnybok.
- The party ranking is led by Servant of the People, which is supported by 18.0% of those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. European Solidarity stands at 13.7%, Opposition Platform – For Life at 11.4%, and Batkivshchyna at 11.4%. Razumkov’s Smart Politics is supported by 7.5%, Ukrainian Strategy of Groysman by 6.2%, Strength and Honor by 6.0%, Murayev’s Nashi by 5.2%, UDAR of Vitalii Klychko by 4.2%, the Radical Party by 4.0%, Sharii’s Party by 3.1%, and Svoboda by 3.0%. Support for all other political forces is below 3%.
- Fourteen percent of respondents heard (saw) the President's annual address to the Verkhovna Rada on 1 December in its entirety. Thirty-four percent heard (saw) selected excerpts. Fifty-two percent knew nothing about it.
- At the same time, respondents are much better informed about the initiative to introduce an economic passport for Ukrainians (32% are well aware of the idea, 40% have heard something about it, and 28% know nothing about this initiative). At the same time, the majority (53%) have a positive attitude towards this initiative, 28% are neutral, and 16% are negative. Among those who are well informed about the initiative, support stands at 62%, while a quarter do not support it.
- As in previous surveys, about half of those polled (47%) support the idea of introducing dual citizenship in Ukraine. Approximately the same number (50%) oppose it.
Methodology
- Audience: Ukrainian citizens aged 18 and older in all regions except for the temporarily occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender and type of settlement.
- Survey method: CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews). Based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers.
- Sample size: 2,500 respondents.
- The margin of error for the study with a confidence level of 0.95 is no more than 2.0.
- Fieldwork dates: 6-8 December 2021
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