03.06.2021
District 197: political attitudes (22-29 May 2021)
- According to the results of a survey conducted by Rating Group between 22 and 29 May 2021 among residents of single-mandate electoral district No.197, respondents evaluated the local situation more positively than the situation in the region or in the country overall. Forty-six percent of residents believe that things in their localities are moving in the right direction, while the same share holds the opposite view. With regard to the oblast, 33% think it is developing in the right direction and 50% disagree. At the national level, 26% consider the direction to be right and 64% consider it wrong. Over the last three months, assessments of the country’s direction have improved at all levels.
- Sixty-five percent of respondents expressed a definite willingness to participate in the by-election for a Member of Parliament in the district on 31 October 2021. Fourteen percent were unsure, five percent said they would possibly take part, and six percent considered it unlikely. Higher turnout readiness is observed among older respondents and residents of rural areas.
- Among the candidates, Vladyslav Holub holds the lead, supported by 30.4% of those who have decided and would participate in the vote. Yevhen Kurbet receives 13.1%, Mykola Tomenko 12.0%, Valeriia Bondarenko 11.9%, Andrii Illienko 5.6%, Roman Sushchenko 4.8%, Volodymyr Domanskyi 4.6%, and Leonid Datsenko 3.2%. Support for other candidates is below 2%, while around 15% of voters remain undecided.
- When asked who they believe would win the election, 19.5% predicted the victory of Vladyslav Holub, 10.9% were confident that Valeriia Bondarenko would win, 8.7% named Yevhen Kurbet, and 5.4% pointed to Mykola Tomenko. Fewer than 3% believed in the victory of any other candidate, and over a third of respondents could not give an answer.
- Regarding the pandemic, 23% perceive COVID-19 as a high threat to their own health and lives, 42% view the threat as moderate, and 31% as low. Higher levels of concern are reported among older respondents, women, and those with lower income.
- When asked about vaccination, 32% said they would like to receive a COVID-19 vaccine, while 64% said they would not. Vaccine hesitancy is particularly common among younger people and rural residents.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of single-mandate constituency No. 197 (Cherkasy region) aged 18 and older. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender, and type of settlement.
- Sample size: 2,400 respondents.
- Survey method: face-to-face formalised interviews.
- Survey representativeness error: no more than 2.0%.
- Fieldwork dates: 22-29 May 2021.
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