24.06.2019
Electoral attitudes: District No. 125
- According to a survey conducted by the Rating Group in May–June 2019 among residents of single-member electoral district No. 125 (centered in Staryi Sambir, Lviv region), electoral participation intentions in the district were relatively high. A total of 55% of respondents stated that they are definitely ready to take part in the parliamentary elections, while another 34% said they are rather ready to come to polling stations and vote. Only 7% reported that they would not participate in the elections, and 4% remained undecided.
- In terms of party preferences, the Servant of the People party leads in the district, with 31.7% support among those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. It is followed by Voice with 20.7%, European Solidarity with 15.1%, Civic Position with 7.8%, Batkivshchyna with 7.6%, and Svoboda with 6.2%. Support for the Radical Party stands at 3.3%, while all other political forces receive less than 3%.
- The survey also explored attitudes toward forms of electoral campaigning. A clear majority of respondents (62%) expressed a negative attitude toward material assistance from candidates or deputies during elections, such as distributing food packages, money, or funds for repairs or medical treatment. At the same time, 16% supported such initiatives by politicians who are running for office, while 17% reported a neutral attitude.
- When asked how voters in their communities would react if candidates offered food packages, money, or medicines during the campaign, 38% of respondents said that most people they know would accept the assistance but vote for another candidate. Another 37% believe that voters in their area would refuse such assistance altogether. Only 7% stated that this type of campaigning actually influences voters to support the candidate who provides the aid, while 18% were unable to answer the question.
- Respondents were also asked about their expectations of President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. The most common expectation is a ceasefire in Donbas, mentioned by 55% of respondents. Other frequently cited expectations include reducing utility tariffs (35%), raising social standards (30%), punishing high-level officials involved in corruption (29%), intensifying cooperation with the EU and NATO (25%), strengthening the Ukrainian army (22%), reducing the influence of oligarchs on politics (20%), lifting parliamentary immunity (18%), improving the quality of healthcare (15%), and uniting the country (10%). Expectations regarding tariff reductions and higher social standards are more prevalent among older and poorer respondents, while younger and more affluent groups more often emphasize cooperation with the EU and NATO and the removal of parliamentary immunity.
- Finally, respondents identified the most pressing local problems in the district. The lack of jobs is considered the most acute issue, cited by 60% of respondents. This is followed by low wages in the region (49%), poverty (37%), poor-quality medical services (35%), and the poor condition of roads (32%). Around one-fifth of respondents point to the decline of agriculture or industry, while 10–13% mention drug addiction, illegal logging, depopulation of villages, or insufficient attention to youth issues. Concerns about unemployment are strongest among younger and middle-aged respondents, whereas poverty and poor healthcare are more frequently emphasized by older residents.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of single-member electoral district No. 125 aged 18 and older. The sample is representative by age, gender, and type of settlement.
- Sample size: 1,200 respondents.
- Method: face-to-face formalized interviews.
- Margin of error: no more than 2.8%.
- Fieldwork dates: May 30 – June 13, 2019.
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