Electoral sentiment of the population of the city of Lviv: March 2010

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31.03.2010

Electoral sentiment of the population of the city of Lviv: March 2010

28% of respondents believe that the overall situation in Lviv is improving. At the same time, 21% say the situation is worsening, while a relative majority (44%) believe the situation in the city remains unchanged.
Overall, 46.5% of respondents are satisfied with the performance of Mayor Andriy Sadovyi (42.1% are dissatisfied). Regarding the performance of the Head of the Regional State Administration Mykhailo Kmit and the Head of the Regional Council Mykhailo Senyk, 18% of respondents are satisfied with their work, while more than 40% are dissatisfied. At the same time, more than 40% of respondents could not assess the performance of the heads of the RSA and the Regional Council.
Regarding the situation in various areas of city life, according to respondents, over the last four years the greatest improvement occurred in water supply — three quarters of respondents (74%) believe so. General improvement was noted in the cultural life of the city (56%), street lighting (52%), city cleaning (48%), heating supply, preservation of historical heritage (46%), and the operation of public transport (37%).
Opinions on road repairs are divided: 33% noted improvement, while 35% noted deterioration.
The worst evaluations were given to the work of housing maintenance offices (ZhEKs) and healthcare institutions (34% and 33%, respectively, said the situation had worsened). Changes were least noticeable in healthcare: 47% believe the situation there has not changed over the past four years.
Regarding reform in the area with the weakest improvement — ZhEKs — opinions were almost evenly split:
30% believe the authorities should focus on restoring order in the existing ZhEKs,
29% believe the authorities, while supporting ZhEKs, should focus on creating homeowners’ associations (HOAs),
25% believe ZhEKs should be abolished soon and housing maintenance transferred exclusively to HOAs.
Another 8% are indifferent, and another 8% were unable to answer. Older people more often support keeping ZhEKs, while younger respondents more often support developing HOAs.
If mayoral elections were held in March, Andriy Sadovyi would win — 34.4% of Lviv residents would vote for the incumbent mayor. Petro Pysarchuk would place second (16%), and Vasyl Kuibyda third (15.5%). The remaining candidates would be within the margin of error. 12.3% were undecided.
In a hypothetical second round, Sadovyi would also win:
against Pysarchuk — 46% to 23%,
against Kuibyda — 42% to 25%.
In both cases, 16% would vote for neither candidate.
Support for candidates varies by demographics:
44% of young people (18–29) would vote for Sadovyi,
Pysarchuk is strongest among ages 40–49 (23%),
Kuibyda among voters aged 60+ (24%).
Respondents with higher education more often supported Sadovyi and Pysarchuk than Kuibyda. Support for Sadovyi is evenly distributed across denominations, while support for Pysarchuk and Kuibyda is somewhat higher among believers of the Moscow Patriarchate.
A relative majority (40%) believe the mayor should be non-partisan. 22% think the mayor must belong to a political party. 26% do not care, and 12% were undecided.
In parliamentary preferences in Lviv:
BYuT — 24.5%
Svoboda — 12.4%
Our Ukraine — 9.6%
Strong Ukraine — 9.1%
Front for Change — 8.8%
Party of Regions — 6%
Klitschko Bloc — about 3%
Hrytsenko’s Civic Initiative — about 3%
For Lviv City Council:
Svoboda — 15%
BYuT — 14.4%
Sadovyi Bloc — 8%
Our Ukraine — 7%
Pysarchuk Bloc “Native City” — 5.5%
Front for Change — 4.8%
Strong Ukraine — 4.5%
Party of Regions — 4.4%
Kuibyda Bloc — 3.6%
Klitschko Bloc — 3.1%
10% were undecided.
Only three national politicians have a positive trust balance in Lviv:
Arseniy Yatsenyuk (+13),
Oleh Tyahnybok (+6),
Serhiy Tihipko (+4).
Trust and distrust in Yuliya Tymoshenko are almost equal (44.8% vs 48.1%).
Yatsenyuk leads in overall trust (48.3%).
Tymoshenko and Tyahnybok lead in full trust (15% and 13%).
Trust in former President Viktor Yushchenko stands at 29.5%, distrust at 63.7%.
The least trusted are Volodymyr Lytvyn and President Viktor Yanukovych — 75%.
Expectations from the recent presidential election are mostly negative or neutral:
33.9% expect economic deterioration,
46.1% expect greater political confrontation,
37.8% expect deeper national division.
Only 24.4% expect economic improvement,
17.6% expect reduced political conflict,
15.1% expect national unity.
57% believe the mayor should cooperate with the new authorities solely in the city’s interest.
15.6% advise him to oppose the new government.
10.4% believe he should openly support it.
17% were undecided.