19.06.2019
Monitoring of electoral moods of Ukrainians (8-12 June, 2019)
- According to the results of a survey conducted by Rating Group on June 8–12, 2019, 35% of respondents stated that Ukraine is moving in the right direction, while 36% held the opposite view and another 30% were undecided. The positive shift in public sentiment continued. Relatively more optimistic assessments of the country’s situation were observed among residents of the South, the youngest respondents, and supporters of the political parties “Servant of the People,” “Strength and Honor,” and “Voice.” In contrast, supporters of “European Solidarity” and “Opposition Platform – For Life” were the most pessimistic on this issue.
- A total of 77% of respondents expressed a definite intention to take part in the early parliamentary elections scheduled for July 21, 2019. Another 12% said they were rather likely to participate, 8% stated they would not vote, and 3% were undecided.
- The leader in electoral preferences among political parties was “Servant of the People,” which was supported by 47.1% of those who intended to vote and had decided on their choice. At the time of the survey, the electoral threshold was also being overcome by “Opposition Platform – For Life” (11.1%), “Voice” (8.1%), “Batkivshchyna” (7.3%), and “European Solidarity” (5.0%). Support for other parties included “Strength and Honor” (4.1%), “Civic Position” (2.2%), the Radical Party (2.1%), Svoboda (2.1%), “Ukrainian Strategy” (1.9%), the Opposition Bloc (1.8%), and Samopomich (1.2%). All other political forces received less than 1%.
- More than half of respondents believed that the party “Servant of the People” would pass the 5% electoral threshold and enter the future parliament. About 40% expressed the same expectation regarding “Batkivshchyna,” one third regarding “Opposition Platform – For Life,” one quarter regarding “European Solidarity,” and one in five regarding the party “Voice.” Among supporters of political forces with relatively high ratings, more than 70% were confident that their preferred parties would enter the Verkhovna Rada.
- Half of respondents were satisfied with the performance of President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, while 14% were dissatisfied and 38% had not yet formed an opinion. Only 22% positively assessed the work of Prime Minister Volodymyr Groysman, whereas 65% evaluated it negatively. Nearly 90% of respondents were dissatisfied with the work of the Verkhovna Rada, and only 5% expressed satisfaction.
- Half of those surveyed expected President Zelenskyy to resolve the issue of ending the fighting in Donbas. Other expectations included lowering utility tariffs (38%), reducing the influence of oligarchs on politics (22%), raising social standards (20%), punishing high-level officials guilty of corruption (19%), lifting parliamentary immunity (17%), improving the quality of healthcare (16%), intensifying cooperation with NATO and the EU (13%), improving relations with Russia (12%), strengthening the Ukrainian army (12%), and uniting the country (10%).
- Expectations regarding an end to the war in Donbas were common across almost all macro-regions. At the same time, relatively higher expectations for lowering tariffs, reducing oligarchic influence, and improving relations with Russia were recorded in the South and East. Expectations regarding punishment of corrupt high-level officials were somewhat higher in the West and South; lifting parliamentary immunity was more often mentioned in the Center; improving healthcare quality in the South; and strengthening cooperation with NATO and the EU, as well as reinforcing the Ukrainian army, in the West.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender, region, and settlement type.
- Sample size: 2000 respondents.
- Personal formalized interview (face-to-face).
- The margin of error does not exceed 2.2%.
- Fieldwork dates: 8-12 June, 2019.
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