11.11.2021
Social and political mood of the population (4–9 November 2021)
- According to the results of a survey conducted by the Sociological Group “Rating” on 4–9 November 2021, if a presidential election were held in the near future, 21.8% would vote for V. Zelenskyi (among those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice). 14.5% would support P. Poroshenko, 11.0% — Yu. Boiko, 10.8% — Yu. Tymoshenko, 8.8% — D. Razumkov, 6.4% — Ye. Murayev, 6.2% — I. Smeshko, 5.7% — V. Groysman, 4.0% — O. Liashko, 2.6% — A. Sadovyi, 2.4% — O. Tyahnybok, and 1.7% — V. Klychko.
- The party ranking is led by the Servant of the People party, supported by 17.3% of those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. European Solidarity stands at 14.0%, Batkivshchyna at 12.2%, and Opposition Platform – For Life at 11.0%. Support for other political forces is somewhat lower: Dmytro Razumkov’s party — 6.8%, Strength and Honor — 5.8%, Ukrainian Strategy of Groysman — 5.2%, Murayev’s Nashi — 4.9%, the Radical Party — 4.8%, Svoboda — 3.3%, Sharii’s Party — 3.2%, UDAR of Vitalii Klychko — 3.1%, For the Future — 2.1%, Samopomich — 1.7%, and Holos — 1.4%. Our Land stands at 1.1%.
- 33% of respondents are satisfied with the performance of President V. Zelenskyi, while 65% are not satisfied. 22% are satisfied with the work of the President’s Office, and 72% are not. 18% are satisfied with the work of Prime Minister Shmyhal, while 68% are not satisfied, and 14% were unable to assess it. Among central government institutions, respondents are most dissatisfied with the work of the Cabinet of Ministers (80%) and the Verkhovna Rada (83%).
- 58% support the idea of dissolving Parliament and calling new elections, while 38% do not. 55% support the resignation of the Government and the appointment of a new Cabinet, while 39% do not. The idea of the President’s resignation and early presidential elections is supported by 40%, while 58% do not support it.
- 37% of respondents believe their region is currently in economic decline, 33% believe it is developing economically, and 26% say nothing is happening. Reports of economic development were more frequent in the West and in Kyiv, while economic decline was more often noted in the East and South.
- The central government (35%) and local authorities (34%) are considered most responsible for regional problems. Another 19% blame the residents themselves. Those seen as capable of solving these problems include the central government (32%), local authorities (28%), and city residents (24%). The central government is blamed more often in the East and in Kyiv, by older respondents, and by supporters of the Sharii, Murayev, and Opposition Platform parties. Local authorities are blamed more often in the West and among voters of Strength and Honor, the Radical Party, Ukrainian Strategy, Svoboda, and Servant of the People. Belief that the region’s problems can be solved by residents themselves is more common in Kyiv and in the West, among young people, and among voters of Svoboda and UDAR.
- About 40% believe their region will become one of the most developed in Ukraine in the next 5–10 years. Another 22% expect development in the next 10–20 years, while 16% say their region will never be economically developed. At the same time, 16% state that their region is already among the most developed—most often residents of Kyiv and those who currently see their region as economically developed.
- Almost half of Ukrainians do not make any plans for the future. One-quarter plan their lives a few years ahead, about 15% — for six months to a year, and 13% — for a few months. Making future plans is easier for younger, wealthier respondents and residents of the capital.
- For 55% of the population, the main source of income is wages; for 30%, pensions. Another 13% receive income from business, and 6% from social benefits.
- Most respondents assess their current income level as low (36%) or below average (36%). 31% consider it average. Only 8% assess their income as above average or high.
- One-quarter say they would be satisfied with a monthly income of up to 10,000 UAH. Another 22% say they need more than 30,000 UAH per month. The remaining respondents named intermediate amounts: 14% — 11–15 thousand, 18% — 16–20 thousand, 8% — 21–25 thousand, 11% — 26–30 thousand. The lower the current income, the lower the desired income respondents name. Noticeably lower desired incomes were named by women, especially older women — most of whom would be satisfied with up to 10,000 UAH. The highest desired incomes were named by men of middle and younger age, as well as by residents of the capital.
- 62% of respondents would support Ukraine’s accession to the European Union if a referendum were held today (32% would not support it). 58% would support joining NATO, while 35% oppose it. Residents of the western and central regions are the most supportive of European integration, while the least supportive are residents of the eastern regions, where fewer than half back Ukraine’s accession to the EU and NATO. The most skeptical about joining these alliances are voters of the Opposition Platform, Sharii’s party, and Murayev’s party.
Methodology
- Audience: Ukrainian citizens aged 18 and older in all regions except the temporarily occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender and type of settlement.
- Survey method: CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews). Based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers.
- Sample size: 5,000 respondents.
- The margin of error for the study with a confidence level of 0.95 is no more than 1.5%.
- Fieldwork dates: 4-9 November 2021
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