09.08.2018
Socio-political moods in Dnipro: July 2018
- According to a study conducted by the Rating Group among residents of Dnipro, Yuliia Tymoshenko leads the presidential rating. She is supported by 19.0% of those who intend to vote. Volodymyr Zelenskyi follows with 13.5%, Yurii Boiko with 13.4%, Anatolii Hrytsenko with 8.3%, Vadym Rabinovych with 7.9%, Petro Poroshenko with 7.0%, Oleh Liashko with 5.9%, and Sviatoslav Vakarchuk with 3.9%. Other candidates receive less than 2%. 12.0% of respondents remain undecided.
- In the so-called “second choice” ranking, Volodymyr Zelenskyi leads: 12.7% say they would support him if their primary candidate were not on the ballot. About 8% would then vote for Sviatoslav Vakarchuk, Yuliia Tymoshenko, or Oleh Liashko; 6.8% for Anatolii Hrytsenko; 6.2% for Vadym Rabinovych; 5.8% for Yurii Boiko; 3.1% for Andrii Sadovyi; and 2.7% for Petro Poroshenko.
- The anti-rating is led by Petro Poroshenko: nearly half (48%) of Dnipro residents say they would not vote for him under any circumstances. The anti-ratings of Arsenii Yatseniuk (28.6%), Nadiia Savchenko (21.9%), Yuliia Tymoshenko (19.1%), Oleh Tiahnybok (16.7%), Oleh Liashko (16.2%), Yurii Boiko (14.6%), and Vadym Rabinovych (13.6%) are also notable.
- About 16% of respondents believe Yuliia Tymoshenko will become the next President of Ukraine. 7.2% expect Petro Poroshenko, 6.1% Volodymyr Zelenskyi, 5.5% Yurii Boiko, 3.6% Oleh Liashko, 2.5% Anatolii Hrytsenko, and 2% each Vadym Rabinovych and Sviatoslav Vakarchuk.
- For an overwhelming majority (83%), it is important that the future president actively defends the interests of their city. One third of respondents consider Leonid Kuchma the best President of Ukraine, 13% name Leonid Kravchuk, about 10% Viktor Yanukovych, and 5% each Viktor Yushchenko and Petro Poroshenko. 28% did not choose any of the former presidents.
- In the party rating, Batkivshchyna leads with support from about 20% of those intending to vote. Servant of the People has 14.6%, the Opposition Bloc 13.9%, For Life 8.2%, Civic Position 7.8%, BPP Solidarity 6.7%, while the Radical Party and UKROP receive 5.9% and 5.6% respectively. Other parties score below 2%, and 8.8% are undecided.
- A clear majority of respondents believe that candidates who distribute illegal material benefits to voters during campaigns should be strictly punished (59%). About one third think this form of campaigning should be allowed, and nearly one in ten are undecided.
- 70% of respondents say Ukraine is moving in the wrong direction, one in five think otherwise, and 9% are unsure. Assessments of local affairs are less pessimistic: 42% consider the situation in their city to be moving in the wrong direction, nearly the same share think it is moving in the right direction, and 18% are undecided.
- Satisfaction with local authorities varies. 65% are satisfied with the performance of Dnipro Mayor Borys Filatov, while 32% are dissatisfied. The work of Regional Governor Valentyn Reznichenko is rated positively by 49% and negatively by 35%. Opinions on the City Council are split: 46% are dissatisfied and 43% satisfied.
- More than 70% of respondents are dissatisfied with the work of municipal services and medical institutions, and over half express negative views of local educational institutions.
- Among city problems, the cost of utilities concerns nearly 80% of respondents. About 42–43% are worried about poor road conditions and public transport fares, 35% about drug and alcohol abuse, and 31% about rising crime and the low professional level of medical staff. More than a quarter are concerned about the condition of sidewalks and pedestrian paths, and one fifth about street lighting and the quality of public transport services.
- Regarding foreign policy, one third support Ukraine’s accession to NATO, while about half oppose it; 16% are undecided or would not vote. 45% support EU membership, more than a third oppose it, and 18% are undecided or would abstain. Support for European and Euro-Atlantic integration increases with younger age and is highest among voters of Civic Position and BPP Solidarity.
- When choosing an integration vector, 39% believe Ukraine should maintain equidistance from the EU and Russia without joining alliances; 34% favor EU membership, 16% support joining the Customs Union, and about one in ten are undecided.
- On language policy, nearly half believe Ukrainian should be the sole state language with free use of Russian in all spheres. 29% support granting Russian state language status nationwide alongside Ukrainian, and one fifth favor Ukrainian as the state language with Russian having official status in certain regions.
- Regarding the past, 46% do not regret the collapse of the Soviet Union, while 44% feel nostalgic; about one fifth are undecided.
- As for resolving the conflict in Donbas, the most supported options are ending hostilities and recognizing the territories as temporarily occupied / freezing the conflict (35%) and granting autonomy or a federal status within Ukraine (33%). 10% support continuing military actions until full restoration of Ukrainian control, 7% favor separation of these territories, and 14% are undecided.
- Two thirds of Dnipro residents consider Russia an aggressor toward Ukraine; one quarter disagree and 8% are unsure. About half believe Ukraine should limit or fully terminate economic relations with Russia, one quarter oppose reducing ties, 14% favor significant expansion of relations, and one in ten are undecided. Support for maintaining or expanding economic ties with Russia is highest among voters of the Opposition Bloc and For Life, as well as among older respondents.
Methodology
- Respondents: residents of Dnipro aged 18 and older. The sample is representative in terms of age and gender.
- Total sample: 1000 respondents.
- Personal formalized interview (face-to-face).
- The margin of error does not exceed 3,1%.
- Fieldwork dates: 29 June -10 July 2018
.webp)