Election assessment

• According to a survey by the Rating Group, the majority (56%) believe that the parliamentary elections of October 26 were rather free and fair, while 28% believe the elections were rather not free and not fair, and about one in six respondents were undecided.
• Importantly, among those who participated in the elections, an absolute majority (75%) consider them free and fair. Meanwhile, among respondents who did not vote, the majority (60%) believe the elections were rather not free and not fair.
• Almost 60% expect positive changes as a result of the early parliamentary elections (three months before the elections this figure was 46%). Half believe that the newly elected parliament will be more effective than the previous composition of the Verkhovna Rada, one third believe that nothing will change, and only 7% think the new parliament will be less effective than the previous one.
• If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, 24.5% of respondents (among those who would participate and had decided) would vote for the People’s Front, 23.5% for the Petro Poroshenko Bloc, 12.7% for the Self-Reliance (Samopomich) union, almost 9% for the Opposition Bloc, 7% for the Radical Party of Oleh Liashko, and 6.1% for Batkivshchyna. Other parties would not pass the electoral threshold: Svoboda – 4.4%, Communist Party – 3.3%, Strong Ukraine – 2.7%, Right Sector – 2.1%, Civil Position – 1.7%.

Satisfaction with government performance

• 49% approve of President Petro Poroshenko’s performance, while 42% disapprove.
  52% of respondents are satisfied with Prime Minister Arsenii Yatseniuk’s performance, while 40% are dissatisfied.
  32% are satisfied with Verkhovna Rada Chairman Oleksandr Turchynov’s performance, while 55% are dissatisfied.
• Compared to the October survey, satisfaction with the Prime Minister and the Speaker of Parliament improved (from 45% to 52% and from 27% to 32% respectively), while evaluations of the President’s performance remained almost unchanged.

Coalition formats

• Among possible coalition formats, the highest support is for:
  — “Poroshenko Bloc – People’s Front – Samopomich – Radical Party – Batkivshchyna” (19%)
  — “Poroshenko Bloc – People’s Front – Samopomich” (17%)
  — “Poroshenko Bloc – People’s Front” (12%)
• The least supported formats are:
  — “Poroshenko Bloc – People’s Front – Samopomich – Batkivshchyna” (9%)
  — “Poroshenko Bloc – Opposition Bloc” (5%)
• Meanwhile, 20% of respondents do not support any of these formats, and about one in six are undecided.
• The majority of respondents (50%) see Arsenii Yatseniuk as Prime Minister of Ukraine after the October 26 elections. Much fewer support other candidates: Yurii Boiko (6%), Andrii Sadovyi (5%), Volodymyr Groysman (4%), Yulia Tymoshenko (4%), Oleh Liashko (3%), Serhii Tihipko (1%).
• As Speaker of the newly elected Verkhovna Rada, respondents most often name Oleksandr Turchynov (22%), followed by Volodymyr Groysman (9%) and Volodymyr Lytvyn (8%). Additionally, about 5% each support Oleh Liashko and Yulia Tymoshenko, 4% Yurii Lutsenko, 3% Yurii Boiko, and 2% Hanna Hopko.
• In these elections, a number of young politicians were elected to the Verkhovna Rada for the first time via party lists. Among them, respondents would most like to see in the new government: Tetiana Chornovol (27%), Hanna Hopko (18%), Yehor Soboliev (17%), and Mustafa Nayyem (12%). More than 8% would like to see Viktoriia Siumar in the new government, more than 7% Ihor Lutsenko, 6% Serhii Leshchenko, 5% Svitlana Zalishchuk, 5% Oksana Syroid, about 3% Andrii Lozovyi, Ihor Popov, and Olena Shkrum, and almost 2% others.