18.03.2024

Social and political sentiments of Chernihiv residents (March 1-10, 2024)

  • According to the results of a survey conducted by the Rating Sociological Group, 28% of Chernihiv residents surveyed rated their emotional state over the past week as calm, 36% as tense, and 35% gave average ratings. Higher levels of anxiety were recorded among women, older people, and those with lower incomes.
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  • More than half of those surveyed (52%) consider a repeat attack on Chernihiv in the next six months unlikely. About 15% rated the possibility of a repeat attack as highly likely, while 28% gave average ratings.
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  • 74% of respondents are confident that Ukraine will be able to repel Russia's attack, while more than 20% have the opposite opinion. Over the past year and a half, the number of those who are confident in the possibility of repelling Russia's attack has decreased (from 93% in December 2022 to 74%).
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  • Almost 70% believe that it will be impossible to restore friendly relations between Ukrainians and Russians immediately after the end of the war. 20% believe this will be possible in 20-30 years, 6% in 10-15 years, and 2% within a few years.
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  • About 60% of respondents noted that they have close relatives serving in the war.
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  • Among politicians, respondents trust V. Zaluzhny the most (87% trust him, 7% do not trust him). V. Zelensky is trusted by 57% and distrusted by 39%, S. Prytula is trusted by 46% and distrusted by 43%, V. Klitschko is trusted by 34% and distrusted by 48%, P. Poroshenko is trusted by 17% and distrusted by 79%.
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  • Almost 60% are satisfied with the activities of the acting mayor of Chernihiv, O. Lomako, and the city council, while 30% are dissatisfied. 28% are satisfied with the activities of the Chernihiv Regional Military Administration, while 53% are dissatisfied (the satisfaction rate has deteriorated: 59% versus 28%). 27% are satisfied with the activities of the Chernihiv City Military Administration, while 55% are dissatisfied. The work of the head of the regional military administration, V. Chaus, was rated positively by 24% and negatively by 68%. The work of the head of the Chernihiv city military administration, D. Bryzhynsky, was rated positively by 19% and negatively by 59%.
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  • More than 80% believe that the elected city council should deal with issues related to ensuring the city's vital functions. 11% believe that this should be done by the appointed city military administration.
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  • Almost 65% believe that acting mayor O. Lomako is effectively performing his duties as mayor. 27% have the opposite opinion. Older respondents consider the acting mayor's activities to be more effective.
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  • More than half of respondents (54%) said that the creation of a city military administration is more likely to hinder the city's development, 22% said it is beneficial, and about a quarter were undecided. The benefits were most often noted by younger and more affluent respondents.
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  • Sixty-four percent of respondents consider the creation of a city military administration to be a political confrontation with the team of former mayor V. Atroshenko. Twenty-three percent assessed it as a security necessity. One in ten was undecided. Young people and those who are more affluent more often pointed to security needs.
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  • Among local politicians, respondents had a more favorable opinion of V. Atroshenko (83% positive, 12% negative). O. Lomak had a 66% positive rating and a 23% negative rating. Chaus is viewed positively by 25% and negatively by 65%. D. Bryzhinsky is viewed positively by 17%, negatively by 55%, and 14% have not heard of him.
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  • 94% have heard about the decision of the Yavoriv District Court, according to which Chernihiv Mayor V. Atroshenko was stripped of his right to hold the office of mayor for one year (59% have heard a lot, 35% have heard something). 76% of respondents do not support this court decision, while 14% expressed their support.
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  • 75% of respondents believe that this court decision is more of a pressure on local authorities, while 15% consider it a fight against corruption.

Methodology

Audience: Chernihiv residents aged 18 and older. The sample is representative in terms of age and gender. Sample size: 800 respondents.   Survey method: Face-to-face formalized interviews.   Margin of error: no more than 3.5%.

Fieldwork dates: March 1-10, 2024.