24.06.2010
Electoral moods of the Ukrainian population: June 2010
- The highest position in the presidential рейтинг continues to be held by the incumbent head of state Viktor Yanukovych — 38.2% among all respondents. Yuliia Tymoshenko, on the contrary, continues to lose support month by month (13.2% among all respondents, compared to 17.1% in April and 22.4% in March).
- Support for Serhii Tihipko also declined somewhat (11.8% in June, compared to 13.4% in April and 13.8% in March). The general downward trend also extended to Arsenii Yatseniuk (4.3% in June compared to 5.2% in April).
- The results of the others have practically not changed: Petro Symonenko — 2.1%, Oleh Tiahnybok — 1.8%, Volodymyr Lytvyn — 1%, Anatolii Hrytsenko — 0.9%, Viktor Yushchenko — 0.9%.
- About 2% would vote for other candidates, 8.2% would vote for none, 9.5% would not take part in the elections, and 8.5% are undecided about their support.
- Dynamic indicators by regions of Ukraine show that support for Yanukovych is growing in Donbas and the South of Ukraine, remains stable in the North, while in the East, the Center, and especially in the West of Ukraine, there are tendencies toward a decline in support for the incumbent head of state.
- The level of support for Tymoshenko continues to decline in the Center, the North, and the East, while remaining stable in the West, where a sharp decline occurred in previous months.
- Tihipko experienced his main losses in the West, the East, and the South. However, he gained support in the North.
- Among those who intend to take part in voting, the results are as follows:
Yanukovych (46%), Tymoshenko (15.8%), Tihipko (13.2%), Yatseniuk (5.1%), Symonenko (2.1%), Tiahnybok (2.1%), Lytvyn (1.1%), Yushchenko (1.1%), Hrytsenko (1%).
Others — 1.6%, would vote for none — 4.4%, and 6.7% are undecided. - In June, there is a general tendency toward a decline in party ratings and, accordingly, an increase in the number of undecided citizens.
- The rating of support for political parties in June (among all respondents) is as follows:
Party of Regions — 35.2%, BYuT — 12.4%, Strong Ukraine — 9.2%, Front for Change — 3.6%.
Then follow Communist Party of Ukraine — 2.5%, Svoboda — 1.7%, UDAR (Vitali Klitschko) — 1.5%, and the Lytvyn Bloc — 1.3%.
All other political forces together — 2%.
6.9% would vote against all, 10.5% would not take part in the elections, and 12.3% are undecided. - Since March, the losses are: Party of Regions — 1%, Strong Ukraine — 3%, BYuT — 10%, Front for Change — 1%, Our Ukraine — 1%.
- Among those who intend to take part in voting, the results are as follows:
Party of Regions — 44.1%, BYuT — 15.1%, Strong Ukraine — 10.6%, Front for Change — 4.5%, Communist Party — 2.9%, Svoboda — 2%, UDAR (Klitschko) — 1.8%, Our Ukraine — 1%, other parties — 2.4%.
Would vote for none — 5.2%, undecided — 9.1%.
Methodology
- Survey audience: population of Ukraine aged 18 and older
- Sample size: 2000 respondents
- Method: face-to-face formalized interview
- Margin of error: for values close to 50% — no more than 3%; close to 30% — no more than 2.6%; close to 10% — no more than 1.8%
- Fieldwork period: June 11–17, 2010
- Regions:
- West: Volyn, Zakarpattia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Rivne, Ternopil, Chernivtsi
- Center: Vinnytsia, Kirovohrad, Poltava, Khmelnytskyi, Cherkasy
- North: Kyiv city, Kyiv region, Zhytomyr, Sumy, Chernihiv
- South: AR Crimea, Odesa, Kherson, Mykolaiv, Sevastopol
- East: Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv
- Donbas: Donetsk, Luhansk
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