14.10.2010
Electoral moods of the population of Ukraine: October 2010
- As of early October, Viktor Yanukovych remains the frontrunner in the presidential race, supported by 27.1% of all respondents, or 31.3% among those who would vote if the election were held next Sunday. Yuliia Tymoshenko retains second place with the support of 15.5% of all respondents, or 19.7% among likely voters. Serhii Tihipko is supported by 8.3% of all respondents, Arsenii Yatseniuk by 5.6%, Petro Symonenko by 3.0%, Oleh Tiahnybok by 2.3%, Volodymyr Lytvyn by 1.8%, Anatolii Hrytsenko by 1.1% and Viktor Yushchenko by 1.1%. Another candidate would be supported by 2.8% of respondents, 12.2% would not support any candidate, 8.5% would not participate in the election, and 10.9% remain undecided, or 9.1% among those who would vote.
- In the party ratings, the Party of Regions continues to lead with 23.9% of all respondents, or 29.1% among likely voters. Batkivshchyna holds second place with 12.9% of all respondents, or 16.8% among likely voters. Strong Ukraine is supported by 6.8%, Front for Change by 4.5%, the Communist Party of Ukraine by 3.6% and Svoboda by 3.3%, all of which would enter parliament if elections were held next Sunday. Other parties follow at lower levels of support, while 9.4% of respondents do not support any party, 11.1% would not vote and 16.6% remain undecided.
- Compared to the September wave conducted by Rating Group, several trends can be observed. Viktor Yanukovych’s presidential rating has stabilized and slightly increased from 26% to 27.1%, while the Party of Regions has remained virtually unchanged. Yuliia Tymoshenko’s personal rating declined slightly from 16.8% to 15.5%, but this change remains within the margin of error, whereas support for Batkivshchyna decreased more noticeably from 15.5% to 12.9%, particularly in Western Ukraine, where support for Svoboda and other democratic parties has been growing ahead of the local elections. Serhii Tihipko’s rating continues its steady decline, a trend mirrored by Strong Ukraine. Arsenii Yatseniuk has gradually been regaining support, approaching the level recorded during the presidential election, with Front for Change following the same trend. Both the Communist Party of Ukraine and Svoboda have consolidated their positions above the 3% parliamentary threshold.
Methodology
- Survey organization: Rating Group.
- Survey population: adult population of Ukraine aged 18 and older.
- Sample size: 2,000 respondents.
- Method: face-to-face formalized interview using a structured questionnaire.
- Sampling error: no more than 3.0% for values close to 50%, no more than 2.6% for values close to 30%, and no more than 1.8% for values close to 10%.
- Fieldwork dates: 4–11 October 2010.
- West: Volyn, Zakarpattia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Rivne, Ternopil, Chernivtsi.
- Center: Vinnytsia, Kirovohrad, Poltava, Khmelnytskyi, Cherkasy.
- North: Kyiv city, Kyiv region, Zhytomyr, Sumy, Chernihiv.
- South: Autonomous Republic of Crimea, Odesa, Kherson, Mykolaiv, Sevastopol.
- East: Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv.
- Donbas: Donetsk, Luhansk.
Contact form
Have questions?
Please, fill in the form below and we will reach out to you soon.
