21.04.2020
Social and political sentiments of residents of Ternopil (April 13–16)
- The results of the survey conducted by Rating Group during the fieldwork dates of April 13–16, 2020, among residents of Ternopil demonstrated that 49% of respondents perceive the coronavirus as a real threat personally for themselves and their families, while 45% hold the opposite view.
- Fifty-five percent reported that they had a job before the introduction of quarantine. Among them, 21% stated that they continue working in their usual mode after the introduction of restrictions, 17% work remotely, 15% are on unpaid leave by their own choice, and only 2% have lost their jobs.
- Despite the quarantine, 13% of respondents stated that they leave home several times a day, and 30% once a day. At the same time, 48% reported that they go out only once every few days, while 8% try not to go out at all. Women and the oldest respondents more often reported a high level of restrictions on leaving home.
- Sixty-nine percent stated that they have protective masks in sufficient quantity, 27% have them but not enough, and 4% do not have them at all. Among those who have masks in sufficient quantity, an absolute majority wear them frequently when going outside, at about 90%.
- Ninety-seven percent support the introduction of a mandatory requirement to wear masks in public places. Seventy-four percent do not object to restrictions on visiting parks, forest belts, and coastal areas during quarantine, while 21% are opposed. Opposition is somewhat more common among younger respondents and men.
- Sixty-seven percent of respondents consider the measures introduced by the authorities to combat coronavirus to be optimal. Twenty percent believe they are too lenient. Only 7% are convinced that the measures are too strict.
- Fifty-one percent of respondents consider the reaction of President Volodymyr Zelenskyy to the threat of the spread of coronavirus in Ukraine to be effective, while 27% give opposite assessments. Regarding the Ministry of Health, 45% consider the actions of the institution effective, 33% ineffective, and 22% were unable to answer. As for the Ministry of Internal Affairs, 44% consider its actions effective, 30% ineffective, and 26% were unable to assess. The effectiveness of the actions of Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal was more difficult for respondents to assess: 43% did not answer this question, 33% assessed his actions as effective, and 25% as ineffective.
- Seventy-eight percent of respondents consider the actions of the Mayor of Ternopil, Serhii Nadal, in responding to the coronavirus threat to be effective, while only 10% hold the opposite view. The activities of the city’s medical institutions are considered effective by 48%, ineffective by 16%, while 36% were unable to assess them. Half of respondents hesitated in their answers when assessing the effectiveness of the Head of the Ternopil Regional State Administration, Volodymyr Trush, in combating the coronavirus threat. Thirty-two percent consider his actions effective, and 19% ineffective.
- The leaders of electoral sympathies in elections to the city council are the Svoboda All-Ukrainian Union party, supported by 22.9% of those who have decided and intend to participate in elections, European Solidarity with 21.7%, and Servant of the People with 21.3%. Nine point three percent would vote for Batkivshchyna, 5.9% for Holos, and 4.1% for Civic Position. The rating of other political forces is below 3%. About 40% of respondents remain undecided.
- The leader among candidates for the position of Mayor of Ternopil is Serhii Nadal. If elections were held in the near future, about 70% of those who have decided and intend to participate in voting would support him. Five point nine percent would vote for Stepan Barna, 5.5% for Andrii Bohdanets, and 4.8% for Petro Landiak. The ratings of other candidates are below 4%. About 20% of respondents remain undecided.
- Modeling of the second round of mayoral elections produced the following results: if Serhii Nadal and other candidates from political parties were to advance to the runoff, the incumbent mayor would confidently win in all combinations. In a pair with Stepan Barna, 68% of respondents are ready to support Serhii Nadal, compared to 9% for the candidate from European Solidarity. In a pair with Andrii Bohdanets from Servant of the People, the result would be 67% versus 9%, and in a pair with Bohdan Brych from Batkivshchyna, 71% versus 4% in favor of the Mayor of Ternopil.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of Ternopil aged 18 and older. The sample is representative by age and gender.
- Survey method: CATI (computer-assisted telephone interviews) based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers.
- Sample size: 800 respondents.
- Margin of error: no more than 3.5%.
- Fieldwork dates: April 13–16, 2020.
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