23.05.2012
Ratings of politicians in the presidential election: May 2012
- The full report can also be viewed and downloaded on our Facebook page.
- According to the results of a survey conducted by the Sociological Group “Rating”, if the Presidential elections of Ukraine were held in early May 2012, only 35% of respondents would definitely take part, and another 38% would rather take part.
- If the Presidential elections of Ukraine were held in early May 2012, 21.9% of respondents (among those who would participate in the election) would vote for Viktor Yanukovych, 16% for Yulia Tymoshenko, 9.6% for Arseniy Yatsenyuk, 8.8% for Vitali Klitschko, 6.9% for Petro Symonenko, 4.1% for Nataliya Korolevska, 3.6% for Oleh Tyahnybok, 2.7% for Anatoliy Hrytsenko, 2.5% for Serhiy Tihipko, and 0.8% for Volodymyr Lytvyn. Other candidates were supported by 2.7%, 3.7% would not support any candidate, and 16.8% were undecided.
TRENDS:
- Compared with March, citizens’ willingness to participate in the elections has decreased. In particular, the share of respondents who would definitely participate in the presidential elections fell from 45% to 35%.
- Over the past two months, Yulia Tymoshenko’s rating has declined most noticeably (from 19.8% to 16%), which was accompanied by an increase in support for Nataliya Korolevska (from 1.4% to 4.1%). The latter has overtaken Serhiy Tihipko, Oleh Tyahnybok, and Anatoliy Hrytsenko in the rankings.
- A slight decline in Arseniy Yatsenyuk’s figures was accompanied by a similar rise for Vitali Klitschko.
- Viktor Yanukovych’s rating has remained almost unchanged over the past several months; however, compared with December of last year, it has increased slightly (from 18.9% to 21.9%). Against the background of declining support for the leader of Batkivshchyna, the gap between Yulia Tymoshenko and Viktor Yanukovych has widened in favor of the latter.
- Oleh Tyahnybok shows stable positions, with his personal rating traditionally somewhat lower than that of the Svoboda party. Petro Symonenko also demonstrates stable results, likewise lagging behind the rating of the Communist Party.
Methodology
- Survey population: residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older.
- Sample size: 2,000 respondents.
- Method: face-to-face formalized interviews.
- Margin of error (95% confidence):
– for values near 50%: no more than 2.2%
– near 30%: no more than 2.0%
– near 10%: no more than 1.3%
– near 5%: no more than 1.0% - Fieldwork period: May 5–14, 2012.
- Regional breakdown:
- West: Volyn, Zakarpattia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Rivne, Ternopil, Chernivtsi
- Center: Vinnytsia, Kirovohrad, Poltava, Khmelnytskyi, Cherkasy
- North: Kyiv city, Kyiv region, Zhytomyr, Sumy, Chernihiv
- South: Autonomous Republic of Crimea, Odesa, Kherson, Mykolaiv, Sevastopol
- East: Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv
- Donbas: Donetsk, Luhansk
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