24.03.2026

Public opinion in wartime: political preferences, trust, and ideological orientations of Ukrainians (January 2026). A survey by Rating Group and Westminster Foundation for Democracy

Despite war fatigue and growing economic concerns, Ukrainians maintain a democratic orientation, a high level of trust in key security institutions, and support for the European course. This is evidenced by a survey conducted by the Sociological Group "Rating" for the Westminster Foundation for Democracy (January 2026).

The study covered topics such as the democratic resilience of Ukrainian society during wartime, trust in state and public institutions, support for European and Euro-Atlantic integration, attitudes towards elections during martial law, assessments of public administration effectiveness, the role of veterans in socio-political life, and the impact of war and economic difficulties on public sentiment.

Key findings:

  • Ukrainians maintain a clear pro-European course: the majority supports EU and NATO membership, and is ready to back complex reforms related to European integration, even despite a possible temporary decline in living standards.
  • Security and public institutions enjoy the highest public trust - primarily the Armed Forces of Ukraine, volunteer initiatives, and veteran communities.
  • Despite supporting democracy as a model for state development, Ukrainians are cautious about holding national elections during the war, although local elections are viewed somewhat more positively.
  • There is a growing demand in society for effective public administration, transparency, and accountability of authorities. The majority critically assesses the efficiency of public funds utilization.
  • The war significantly impacts public sentiment: Ukrainians speak of fatigue, economic difficulties, and psychological exhaustion, yet this does not translate into abandoning the state's democratic course.
  • Young people demonstrate more open views on political participation and the modernization of democratic processes — specifically, they more frequently support holding elections during wartime and have a more positive attitude towards electronic voting.

Rating Group is one of Ukraine's largest research institutions, operating since 2008. The company is registered in Ukraine and has significant experience conducting sociological surveys both within Ukraine and abroad. The group includes: Sociological Group Rating, Rating Lab research laboratory, Rating Online platform, and Rating Call Center.

Methodology

  • Dates of survey: January 11-15, 2026
  • Survey method: CATI (Computer-Assisted Telephone Interview) – telephone interviews using a computer
  • Sample size: 2100 respondents  
  • Sample format: random sample of mobile phone numbers (population of Ukraine aged 18 and older in all regions, except temporarily occupied territories, as well as territories where Ukrainian mobile communication was absent at the time of the survey). Results are weighted using current data from the State Statistics Service of Ukraine.
  • Representativeness: the sample is representative by age, gender, and type of settlement (the average error is 2.1 percentage points with a confidence probability of 0.95)

‍Additionally, two focus group discussions were conducted with 16 respondents on January 17-18, 2026.

Note: sometimes the sums of percentages in some charts may not arithmetically equal 100% due to rounding of numbers (including decimals)

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