17.07.2020
District No. 208: socio-political attitudes
- The results of the survey conducted by Rating Group during the fieldwork dates of July 4–11, 2020, among residents of Single-Member Electoral District No. 208 demonstrated that respondents assess the local situation more positively than the general situation in the oblast or in the country. Thus, only 16% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 65% hold the opposite opinion. Twenty-five percent assess the situation in the oblast as going in the right direction, while 52% assess it as going in the wrong direction. At the same time, 36% of district residents believe that things in their localities are going in the right direction, while 50% hold the opposite view. Younger and more affluent respondents give more optimistic assessments at all levels.
- The military conflict in the East of the country (59%) and the lack of jobs and unemployment (50%) top the ranking of nationwide problems among respondents. At the national level, respondents are also concerned about the COVID-2019 coronavirus epidemic (30%), low wages and pensions (23%), bribery and corruption in government (23%), and the inability to receive quality medical care (21%). Personally, respondents consider low wages and pensions to be the biggest problem for themselves (40%). The lack of employment personally concerns 35%, the war in the East 29%, poor-quality healthcare 22%, the COVID-2019 coronavirus epidemic 17%, increases in utility tariffs 16%, and bribery and corruption in government as well as rising prices for basic goods, 14% each.
- Among local problems, district residents are most concerned about the lack of jobs (51%) and the low level of wages in the region (40%). Poor-quality medical care concerns 33%, poor road conditions 28%, poverty 26%, depopulation of villages 24%, land theft 20%, industrial decline 17%, drug addiction, alcoholism, and the decline of agriculture, 14% each.
- About 40% were unable to assess the performance of the Chernihiv Oblast State Administration and the Chernihiv Oblast Council. One third of respondents expressed satisfaction with their activities, and the same share were dissatisfied.
- Forty-four percent of respondents are satisfied with the activities of President Zelenskyy, while 45% are dissatisfied. Regarding the activities of Prime Minister D. Shmyhal, 43% are dissatisfied, 17% are satisfied, and 42% were unable to assess. Seventy-five percent are dissatisfied with the work of the Verkhovna Rada, while only 13% are satisfied.
- Among the main spheres of life, respondents relatively better assessed the work of educational institutions (schools and kindergartens), with about 50% satisfied with their work and about one third dissatisfied. Forty percent are satisfied with the state of the environment, while 56% are dissatisfied. Thirty-seven percent are satisfied with personal safety and crime prevention, while 55% are dissatisfied. Thirty-two percent are satisfied with the development of agriculture, while 63% are dissatisfied. Twenty-nine percent are satisfied with social protection of the population, while 59% are dissatisfied. Twenty-three percent are satisfied with support for young families, while 58% are dissatisfied. Only 13% are satisfied with the fight against corruption at the local level, while 64% are dissatisfied. The greatest dissatisfaction was expressed regarding the condition of roads (73% dissatisfied, 26% satisfied), healthcare (76% and 20%, respectively), and the creation of new jobs (85% and 10%).
- Eighty-two percent are satisfied with the quality of electricity supply, while 17% are dissatisfied. Sixty-four percent are satisfied with gas supply, while 28% are dissatisfied. Sixty-two percent are satisfied with the quality of drinking water, while 36% are dissatisfied.
- Among local politicians, respondents have the best attitude toward O. Liashko (49% positive, 23% neutral, 27% negative). Attitudes toward A. Bohdan are positive among 6%, neutral among 26%, negative among 19%, while 50% do not know him. More than 75% of respondents do not know other politicians.
- In the ranking of political forces in elections to the Verkhovna Rada, the leader is the Radical Party of Oleh Liashko, which is supported by 27.6% of those who have decided and intend to vote. The Servant of the People party is supported by 19.0%, Batkivshchyna by 16.0%, Opposition Platform – For Life by 8.4%, European Solidarity by 6.5%, Strength and Honor by 4.6%, Our Land by 4.0%, and Ridnyi Dim by 3.2%. The ratings of other political forces are below 3%. About 25% remain undecided.
- Among candidates in the by-election of a Member of Parliament in the electoral district, the leader is Oleh Liashko, supported by 65.1% of those who have decided and would participate in voting. The ratings of other candidates are significantly lower: A. Panchenko would be supported by 9.3% of respondents, A. Usenko by 5.9%, A. Bohdan by 4.5%, V. Tkachenko by 4.5%, and A. Hunko by 1.1%. The share of undecided respondents is 26–27%.
- Fifty-five percent of respondents believe that the Verkhovna Rada should consist of experienced deputies, while 25% are convinced that so-called “new faces” should become Members of Parliament. Twenty percent were undecided.
- Sixty-two percent noted that when choosing a Member of Parliament, they would rather vote for a candidate who pays more attention to solving economic and household issues directly in the district. Only 19% would support a candidate who pays more attention to solving national issues.
- Sixty-one percent are ready to support a candidate who already has experience in politics, while only 16% intend to support a candidate without such experience.
- Thirty-seven percent could vote for a candidate who supports the course of President Zelenskyy, 26% for an opposition candidate, while for 37% these factors are not significant. Thirty-six percent would support a candidate representing a specific party, 21% a self-nominated candidate, while for 47% these factors are insignificant.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of Single-Member Electoral District No. 208 (Chernihiv Oblast) aged 18 and older. The sample is representative by age and gender.
- Sample size: 1,200 respondents.
- Survey method: face-to-face formalized interview.
- Margin of error: no more than 2.8%.
- Fieldwork dates: July 4–11, 2020.
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