19.06.2015
Dynamics of Euro-Atlantic Citizens' moods
- According to a survey conducted by Rating Group, if Ukraine could become a member of only one international economic union, 51% of respondents believe it should be the European Union, 16% – the Customs Union of Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan, 14% – another option, while 20% are undecided. Since September of the previous year, support for integration with the European Union has decreased from 59% to 51%, while support for integration with the Customs Union has remained unchanged. At the same time, the number of respondents who are undecided or support alternative economic integration options has increased.
- Membership in the EU is traditionally supported more in the West (80%), about 60% in the Center, 40% in the South and about 20% in the East. The further towards the South-East of the country, the higher the support for the Customs Union. Nearly 80% of supporters of the People’s Front, BPP “Solidarity”, Right Sector, Samopomich and Svoboda support EU membership. At the same time, nearly 60% of supporters of the Opposition Bloc and the Communist Party support integration with the Customs Union.
- If a referendum on Ukraine’s accession to NATO were held, 40% would vote in favor, 32% would vote against, 11% would not participate in voting, and 17% would be undecided. Since November 2014, when support peaked at 51%, there has been a gradual decline in support for Ukraine’s accession to NATO: to 46% in April 2015 and to 40% in June, accompanied by an increase in the share of opponents (from 25% to 32%).
- Ukraine’s accession to NATO would be supported by nearly 70% of residents in the West and about half in the Center. At the same time, about half of residents in the East and South would vote against NATO membership. The higher the level of education and income, and the younger the respondents, the higher the support for Ukraine’s accession to the European Union and NATO. Support for Euro-Atlantic integration is higher among men than among women, especially regarding NATO membership. Among respondents whose native language is Ukrainian, support for EU and NATO membership is almost three times higher than among those whose native language is Russian.
Methodology
- Survey population: population of Ukraine aged 18 and over
- Sample size: 2,000 respondents
- Method: face-to-face interviews
- Margin of error (95% confidence):
- near 50%: ≤ 2.2%
- near 30%: ≤ 2%
- near 10%: ≤ 1.3%
- near 5%: ≤ 1%
- Fieldwork period: June 3 – June 13, 2015
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