17.02.2022
Foreign policy orientations dynamics (February 16-17, 2022)
- According to a poll conducted by the Rating Sociological Group on 16-17 February 2022, 62% support Ukraine's accession to NATO. Thirty percent have a negative attitude towards this initiative. Over the past two months, support for joining the North Atlantic Alliance has grown (at the end of 2021, 55-58% of respondents supported accession). Since observations began in 2014, this is the highest level of positive perception of Ukraine's integration into NATO.
- Sixty-eight per cent support accession to the European Union, while 24% do not. As with NATO, support for EU accession has grown over the past two months and reached its highest level since surveys began in 2013.
- The idea of Ukraine's integration into Western structures enjoys greater support among respondents in the West and Centre, and less in the South. In the East, the number of supporters of NATO membership is lower than the number of opponents. With regard to the EU, there is a parity between opponents and supporters in the eastern regions. Over the past few years, there have been no significant differences in the assessment of Ukraine's foreign policy vector among age groups. However, in the electoral segments, there is a noticeable predominance of rejection of Ukraine's accession to Western structures among voters of the Opposition Platform – For Life party and Murayev's Our Party. Among voters of other political forces, the overwhelming majority are in favour of Ukraine's accession to both the EU and NATO.
- 55% of respondents believe that Ukraine should withdraw from the Minsk agreements if Russia recognises the so-called DPR and LPR as independent states. 24% are against this, while 21% are undecided. A relative majority of the population, regardless of region of residence and age, supports withdrawal from the Minsk agreements under the conditions mentioned above. Only in electoral terms is there a noticeable difference in the assessment of such a development: a relative majority of respondents who support the Opposition Platform – For Life and Nashi parties are either against withdrawing from the Minsk agreements or are undecided.
Methodology
- Audience: Ukrainian citizens aged 18 and older in all regions except the temporarily occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender and type of settlement.
- Sample size: 1,722 respondents.
- Survey method: CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews).
- The margin of error for the study with a confidence level of 0.95 is no more than 2.4%.
- Fieldwork dates: 16-17 February 2022.
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