04.07.2019
Electoral attitudes: Constituency No. 165
- According to a survey conducted by the Rating Group in June–July 2019 among residents of single-member constituency No. 165 (centered in the town of Zboriv, Ternopil region), 77% of respondents stated that they are definitely ready to take part in the parliamentary elections. Another 9% said they would rather come to polling stations and vote. Only 12% indicated that they would not participate in the parliamentary elections, while 2% remained undecided.
- In terms of electoral preferences among political parties in the constituency, the Servant of the People party leads with 25.4% among those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. It is followed by the Voice party with 19.6%, European Solidarity with 14.8%, Batkivshchyna with 7.0%, the Radical Party with 5.3%, Civic Position with 4.5%, Svoboda with 4.1%, and the Agrarian Party of Ukraine with 3.7%. Support for all other political parties does not exceed 3%.
- Among candidates running in the single-member district, Ivan Chaikivskyi is the frontrunner, supported by 36.5% of respondents who have decided and intend to vote. Taras Yuryk receives 23.3% support, followed by Vasyl Martyuk with 11.1%, Volodymyr Kisilevych with 11.0%, and Petro Repela with 4.3%. All other candidates receive less than 3% support. Overall, about one quarter of the constituency’s residents have not yet decided on their electoral preferences.
- When asked about expectations regarding the election outcome, 25.1% of voters believe that Ivan Chaikivskyi will win the election and become a Member of Parliament. Only 10.5% think that Taras Yuryk will win, while 6.7% name Volodymyr Kisilevych as the likely winner.
Methodology
- Sample: population of single-member constituency No. 165 aged 18 and older. The sample is representative by age, gender, and type of settlement.
- Sample size: 1,200 respondents.
- Method: face-to-face formalized interviews.
- Margin of error: no more than 2.8%.
- Fieldwork dates: June 27 – July 1, 2019.
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