02.04.2014
Electoral sentiment of Kyiv residents: March 2014
- According to a survey conducted by Rating Group, more than half of Kyiv residents definitely planned to participate in the Kyiv mayoral and Kyiv City Council elections scheduled for May 25, 2014, while nearly another 30% answered “rather yes than no.” It is important to note that the survey was conducted on March 22–28, before it became known that Vitalii Klitschko withdrew from the presidential race and decided to run for Kyiv mayor.
- In the Kyiv City Council elections, party ratings were as follows: 19% of those intending to vote would support Batkivshchyna, 16% UDAR, 10% the European Party, 7% the Radical Party, 6% each Svoboda and Civic Position, 3% each Right Sector, Democratic Alliance and the Party of Regions, and 2% the Communist Party. Almost 20% were undecided. If the Solidarity party (Petro Poroshenko) had been included on the list, the ratings would have been as follows: 25% for Solidarity, 14% for Batkivshchyna, 11% for UDAR, 8% for the European Party, 5% each for Svoboda and the Radical Party, 4% for Civic Position, 3% for Right Sector, and 2% each for the Party of Regions, Democratic Alliance and the Communist Party. Almost 17% would have been undecided. The largest vote transfers to Solidarity would have come from UDAR and Batkivshchyna.
- Among proposed candidates for the position of Kyiv mayor, the leaders of electoral preferences were Mykola Katerynchuk (12% among those intending to vote), followed by Anatolii Hrytsenko (11%), Oleh Liashko (8%), Volodymyr Bondarenko (8%), and Yurii Lutsenko (8%). About 5% were ready to support Volodymyr Makeienko, about 4% each Vyacheslav Kyrylenko and Lesia Orobets, about 3% Andrii Illienko, 2% Tetiana Montian, and 1% Ihor Lutsenko. Every tenth respondent would choose another candidate for mayor, and nearly 24% were undecided. The idea of holding mayoral elections in two rounds was supported by 44% of Kyiv residents, while almost the same share (42%) opposed it, and 14% were undecided.
Methodology
- Survey population: population of Kyiv aged 18 and over
- Sample size: 1,200 respondents
- Method: face-to-face interviews
- Margin of error (95% confidence):
- near 50%: ≤ 2.2%
- near 30%: ≤ 2%
- near 10%: ≤ 1.3%
- near 5%: ≤ 1%
- Fieldwork period: March 22 – March 28, 2014
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