• According to the results of a study by the Rating Group, as of early October 2011, the level of political activity among residents of Lviv remains relatively high: 44% would definitely take part in parliamentary elections and 49% in presidential elections if they were held next Sunday. Another about 30% would rather take part in the elections than not.
  The highest level of voter mobilization is observed among supporters of Svoboda and Batkivshchyna.
• If elections to the Verkhovna Rada were held next Sunday, 18.2% of Lviv residents would support Batkivshchyna, Front for Change, and Svoboda each. Data are presented among those who intend to participate in the elections.
  UDAR would be supported by 7.2%, Civic Position by 6%, Our Ukraine by 5.8%, the Party of Regions by 4.1%, the Communist Party by 1.5%, and 1.4% each would support the European Party, For Ukraine!, and the People’s Party. Other parties would be supported by about 4% of voters. 5.6% would not support any party, and 7.3% are undecided.
• If presidential elections were held in early October, 22.1% of Lviv residents would vote for Arseniy Yatsenyuk (data among those who intend to vote).
  Yulia Tymoshenko would be supported by 18.6%, Oleh Tyahnybok by 12.4%, Vitali Klitschko by 7.8%, Anatolii Hrytsenko by 6.8%, Viktor Yushchenko by 4.7%, Viktor Yanukovych by 4.7%, and Serhiy Tihipko by 3.4%. Other candidates would be supported by 8.6% of voters. About 6% would not support any candidate, and 5% are undecided.
• Over the past six months, the level of trust in Lviv has worsened for almost all politicians except Yulia Tymoshenko, who is trusted more and distrusted less.
  Thus, Vitali Klitschko enjoys the highest level of trust in the city (51% trust him, 34% do not). Since May, his trust level has not changed.
  Arseniy Yatsenyuk is trusted by 47% of Lviv residents and distrusted by 42%. Since May, his trust level has declined from 54% to 47%, while distrust has risen from 35% to 42%.
  Oleh Tyahnybok is trusted by 40% and distrusted by 49%. Since May, his trust level fell from 47% to 40%, and distrust increased from 40% to 49%.
  Yulia Tymoshenko is trusted by 37% of Lviv residents and distrusted by 53%. Since May, her trust level improved from 35% to 37%, while distrust decreased from 56% to 53%. She has the highest level of complete trust among all politicians (14%).
  Anatolii Hrytsenko is trusted by 38% and distrusted by 41%. Since May, his trust level declined from 40% to 38%, while distrust rose from 39% to 41%.
  Viktor Yushchenko is trusted by 17% and distrusted by 74%. Since May, his trust fell from 22% to 17%, while distrust rose from 68% to 74%.
  Serhiy Tihipko is trusted by 12% and distrusted by 76%. After the announcement of the merger of Strong Ukraine with the Party of Regions, his trust level fell from 19% to 12%, while distrust rose from 71% to 76%.
  Only 8% of Lviv residents trust Viktor Yanukovych, while 84% do not. Since May, trust in the President has not changed.

TRENDS:

• In early October 2011, three political forces — Batkivshchyna, Front for Change, and Svoboda — jointly topped the party rating with 18% each. The rating of Batkivshchyna fluctuates between 18–20%, the rating of Front for Change has slightly increased, while Svoboda suffered the most noticeable losses, with its support falling from 24% to 18%.
• A reshuffle also occurred in the presidential ranking. While Yulia Tymoshenko’s rating remained almost unchanged (19%), Arseniy Yatsenyuk rose from 19% to 22% and became the leader. Oleh Tyahnybok, with a stable 12%, remains in third place.
• The growth of trust in Yulia Tymoshenko (and the decline in distrust) has not yet translated into growth for Batkivshchyna, so only expected trends can be discussed.
• The ratings of Vitali Klitschko (8%) and Anatolii Hrytsenko (7%) remained stable, but their parties’ ratings increased, almost for the first time approaching the leaders’ personal ratings.
  UDAR gained the most — its rating doubled from 3% to 7% since May, largely at the expense of Svoboda.
• Our Ukraine, after a record low in March, has been gradually restoring support, also in parallel with the decline of Svoboda. The party has now reached its pre–local election level (6%).
• The rating of Civic Position continues to grow: at the beginning of the year it stood at about 2%, in March 4%, in May 5%, and in October 6%.
• The Party of Regions also gained slightly, partly due to voter transfers from Strong Ukraine, which was not included on the ballot. Tihipko’s personal rating fell from 5% to 3%, and trust in him declined from 19% to a record low of 12%.
• 56% of Lviv residents are satisfied with the performance of Mayor Andriy Sadovyi, while 35% are dissatisfied.
  October marks the highest level of dissatisfaction with the mayor over the past year. At the same time, positive evaluations have remained stable within the margin of error: 57% in December last year, 59% in February, 56% in March, 59% in May, and 56% again in October.
• 27% of Lviv residents are satisfied with the performance of the Head of the Regional State Administration, Mykhailo Tsymbaliuk, while 40% are dissatisfied. Since May, satisfaction with his performance rose from 18% to 27%, and dissatisfaction declined from 45% to 40%. For the first time, he surpassed both of his predecessors (Mykhailo Kmit and Vasyl Horbal) in positive ratings.
• Almost one quarter of Lviv residents are satisfied with the performance of the Head of the Regional Council, Oleh Pankevych, while 36% are dissatisfied.
  As before, Lviv residents are least informed about his activity: over 40% were unable to evaluate it. This figure has improved (from 62% at the beginning of the year to 41%), but slowly. Since May, satisfaction rose from 19% to 23%, but dissatisfaction also increased from 30% to 36%.