21.12.2015
Electoral preferences of the population
- According to a survey conducted by the Rating Sociological Group, if elections to the Verkhovna Rada had taken place in early December, the following parties would have entered parliament:
- Petro Poroshenko Bloc “Solidarity” – 16.5%
Batkivshchyna – 12.3%
Opposition Bloc – 12.2%
Samopomich – 12.2%
Radical Party – 7.9%
Svoboda – 7.8%
UKROP – 5.1% - Parties with significant chances of passing the 5% threshold were also Civic Position (4.1%), Vidrodzhennia (Revival) (3.6%), and Nash Krai (Our Land) (3.0%).
2.7% would have voted for the Communist Party of Ukraine, 2.3% for Right Sector, and 2.1% for Strong Ukraine. 8.2% of respondents would have chosen another party. - In the West, the electoral leader is PPB Solidarity, followed by Batkivshchyna, with Samopomich and Svoboda tied for third place.
In the Center, PPB Solidarity also leads, followed by Batkivshchyna, while Svoboda and the Radical Party share third place.
In the North, PPB Solidarity remains in first place, Batkivshchyna is second, and Samopomich third.
In the South, East, and Donbas, the Opposition Bloc leads, with PPB Solidarity in second place. Third place in these regions is held by Batkivshchyna (South), Vidrodzhennia (East), and Samopomich (Donbas).
Notably, the largest share of undecided voters and non-voters is concentrated in the South and Donbas (48% and 55% respectively).
Methodology
- Audience: population of Ukraine aged 18 and over.
- Sample: nationally representative by age, gender, region, and type of settlement; 3,000 respondents.
- Method: face-to-face interviews.
- Margin of error: no more than 1.8%.
- Fieldwork dates: December 1–10, 2015.
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