30.06.2020
Social and political sentiments of residents of Kropyvnytskyi
- The results of the survey conducted by Rating Group during the fieldwork dates of June 1–14, 2020, among residents of Kropyvnytskyi demonstrated that city residents assess the local situation significantly better than the general situation in the region or in the country. Thus, only 22% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 63% hold the opposite view. Twenty-nine percent assess the situation in the city as going in the right direction, while 50% assess it as going in the wrong direction. At the same time, 43% of city residents believe that things in the city are going in the right direction, while the same share hold the opposite view.
- Among local politicians, city residents have the most positive attitude toward A. Raikovych: 49% positive, 23% neutral, and 19% negative. Attitudes toward S. Larin are positive among 36%, negative among 18%, neutral among 25%, while 21% do not know him. Toward S. Kuzmenko, 17% have a positive attitude, 8% a negative one, 24% a neutral one, and 51% do not know him. Toward O. Chornoivanenko, 13% have a positive attitude, 10% a negative one, 21% a neutral one, and 58% do not know him. Toward A. Nikolaienko, 11% have a positive attitude, 13% a negative one, 18% a neutral one, and 59% do not know him. Toward A. Balon, 6% have a positive attitude, 6% a negative one, 18% a neutral one, and 70% do not know him.
- Forty-two percent positively assess the activities of President Zelenskyy, while 46% assess them negatively. Sixteen percent are satisfied with the work of Prime Minister D. Shmyhal, 47% are dissatisfied, and 37% were unable to assess. Only 14% are satisfied with the Verkhovna Rada, while 65% are dissatisfied. About one third of respondents were unable to assess the work of the Kirovohrad Regional State Administration and the Regional Council. Satisfaction with the activities of these institutions is at the level of 32–33%, while dissatisfaction is at 36–38%.
- The military conflict in the East of the country (52%) and the lack of jobs and unemployment (44%) top the ranking of nationwide problems among city residents. Low wages and pensions, the inability to receive quality medical care, and bribery and corruption in government concern one third of residents. Increases in utility tariffs, an insufficient level of social protection, and rising crime are considered nationwide problems by 12–14% of respondents.
- At the same time, the ranking of personal problems is led by low wages and pensions at 40%. Increases in utility tariffs, the inability to receive quality medical care, and the military conflict in the East are considered personal problems by about one third of respondents. Lack of employment, bribery and corruption in government, as well as rising prices for basic goods personally concern about 20% of respondents.
- Fifty-five percent of respondents are satisfied with the work of the mayor, while 30% are dissatisfied. Thirty-eight percent are satisfied with the city council, while 41% are dissatisfied. Sixty-one percent are satisfied with public transport in the city, while 29% are dissatisfied; satisfaction with the work of educational institutions stands at 38%, dissatisfaction at 37%, while 26% were unable to assess this sphere. Thirty-two percent are satisfied with the work of the police, while 49% are dissatisfied. Satisfaction with municipal services (housing maintenance offices, urban improvement, lighting, etc.) is at 26%, while dissatisfaction is at 65%. Satisfaction with medical institutions stands at 19%, while dissatisfaction reaches 73%.
- Fifty-one percent of respondents believe that during the term of the current mayor the situation in the city has generally improved. Only 7% observed deterioration, while 34% believe it has not changed. Fifty-three percent of respondents noted that the mayor effectively responds to the coronavirus threat in the city, while 19% hold the opposite view. About 40% of respondents spoke of an effective response to the pandemic by city medical institutions and law enforcement agencies.
- The cost of utility services (44%) and drug addiction and alcoholism (39%) top the ranking of problems that concern city residents the most. One third of respondents are concerned about stray animals on the streets and corruption in city authorities, while one quarter are concerned about the poor condition of city roads or waste collection and disposal.
- The quality of public transport (43%), the quality of roads (34%), and street lighting (24%) are the areas that, in the opinion of respondents, are associated with the greatest successes of the current mayor. Eighteen percent consider the renovation of parks and public gardens to be a success, 14% the repair of sidewalks and adjacent residential areas, and 12% the solution of traffic congestion problems in the city.
- Improving the work of medical institutions (42%) and creating jobs (34%) should, in the opinion of respondents, become priority tasks for city authorities. One quarter of respondents expect the municipality to improve the quality of roads, housing and communal services, the work of educational institutions, the fight against corruption, and better social protection for low-income groups.
- Among candidates for mayor, the leader in the rating is Andrii Raikovych, who is supported by 38.7% of those who have decided and intend to participate in the elections. Eighteen point eight percent would support A. Stryzhakov, 12.0% A. Larin, 5.2% O. Tsertii, and 4.1% O. Horbunov. The ratings of other candidates are below 3%. The share of undecided respondents is 14–15%.
- Modeling of the second round of mayoral elections showed that if A. Raikovych were to advance to the runoff against other potential candidates, the incumbent mayor would win. In a pair with A. Stryzhakov, the result would be 45% versus 30%, and in a pair with O. Horbunov, 52% versus 14%. At the same time, it should be taken into account that from one quarter to one third of respondents have not yet decided on their choice or do not want to participate in voting in the indicated runoff combinations.
- Assessment of the chances of different candidates demonstrated that 53% of respondents, when choosing a city mayor, could support the incumbent mayor. Thirty-seven percent could support a self-nominated candidate, while 36% would not. Thirty-five percent could support a candidate nominated by a local party, while 37% would not. Thirty-one percent could support a candidate nominated by the Servant of the People party, while 52% would not.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of the city of Kropyvnytskyi aged 18 and older. The sample is representative by age and gender.
- Sample size: 747 respondents.
- Survey method: face-to-face formalized interview.
- Margin of error: no more than 3.6%.
- Fieldwork dates: June 1–14, 2020.
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