05.06.2019
Monitoring of electoral moods of Ukrainians (29 May – 3 June, 2019)
- According to the results of a survey conducted by Rating Group between May 29 and June 3, 2019, 34% of respondents stated that Ukraine is moving in the right direction, while 37% held the opposite view and 29% were undecided. The positive dynamics of public sentiment continued. Relatively more optimistic assessments of the country’s situation were recorded among residents of the Center and South, the youngest respondents, as well as supporters of the political parties “Servant of the People” and “Strength and Honor.” In contrast, supporters of “European Solidarity” and “Opposition Platform – For Life” were the most pessimistic on this issue.
- An absolute majority of respondents (88%) expected radical changes in the country. Only 4% supported stabilizing the situation so that it would not worsen, while 5% favored a return to the past. The demand for change was characteristic of the overwhelming majority of respondents across all age, regional, and electoral groups.
- Half of those surveyed were satisfied with the performance of the newly elected President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, while only 11% expressed dissatisfaction. At the same time, 39% had not yet been able to assess the work of the new Head of State. Satisfaction with the performance of former President Petro Poroshenko was reported by 16% of respondents, while more than 80% were dissatisfied. The work of Prime Minister Volodymyr Groysman was positively assessed by 19% and negatively by 76%. More than 90% of respondents were dissatisfied with the performance of the Verkhovna Rada.
- The leader in electoral preferences among political parties was “Servant of the People,” supported by 48.2% of those who intended to vote and had decided on their choice. At the time of the survey, the electoral threshold was also being overcome by “Opposition Platform – For Life” (10.7%), “European Solidarity” (7.8%), “Batkivshchyna” (6.9%), and the party “Voice” (5.6%). Support for other parties included “Strength and Honor” (4.3%), “Civic Position” (3.0%), and the Radical Party (2.4%), while all other political forces received less than 2%.
- The party with the highest negative rating was “European Solidarity,” as 52% of voters stated that they would not vote for it under any circumstances.
- When asked about the main motivation guiding their choice of a political party, 47% of respondents said it would be the party’s ability to bring change to the country. Another 30% stated they would vote based on a party’s ability to establish order. One in five respondents said they were motivated by the presence of many new faces in the party or by its representatives’ ability to combat corruption. For 14–15%, the key motives were the party’s support for social justice and the presence of a strong leader.
- Support for a pro-Western orientation continued to prevail. A total of 62% supported Ukraine’s accession to the European Union (22% opposed), while 53% supported joining NATO (31% opposed). When choosing among several vectors of economic integration, 57% favored EU membership, 24% supported equal distance from both Russia and the West, and 10% favored joining the Customs Union. Support for European and Euro-Atlantic integration was noticeably stronger in the central and western regions, as well as among voters of “European Solidarity,” the party “Voice,” and “Civic Position.”
- Two thirds of respondents supported Ukrainian as the sole state language. At the same time, 21% favored granting Russian the status of a state language, and another 11% supported granting it official status. The highest support for elevating the status of the Russian language was found among residents of the East, those who regularly use Russian in daily communication, and supporters of “Opposition Platform – For Life.”
- A total of 65% of respondents considered Russia an aggressor toward Ukraine, while 27% held the opposite view. More than 60% supported diplomatic approaches to resolving the war in Donbas, with 38% favoring a cessation of hostilities and freezing the conflict, and 22% supporting granting these territories autonomous or federal status within Ukraine. Only 5% supported full separation of the occupied territories, while 18% favored continuing military action until full restoration of Ukrainian control over all of Donbas.
Methodology
- Audience: population of Ukraine aged 18 and older. The sample is representative by age, gender, regions, and type of settlement.
- Sample size: 2,000 respondents.
- Personal formalized interview (face-to-face).
- Margin of sampling error: no more than 2.2%.
- Fieldwork dates: May 29 – June 3, 2019.
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