29.09.2020
Monitoring of local elections 2020: Bila Tserkva United Local Community
- The results of a survey conducted by Rating Group on September 25–26 among residents of the Bila Tserkva territorial community showed that city residents assess the local situation significantly better than the situation in the oblast or the country as a whole. Thus, only 12% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 74% hold the opposite view. Regarding the oblast, 17% believe the direction of development is right, while 62% consider it wrong. At the same time, 43% of community residents believe that affairs in Bila Tserkva are moving in the right direction, although 47% hold the opposite opinion.
- The quality of medical services (50%) and job creation (44%) are considered the main priorities for the work of the future head of the territorial community, according to respondents. Another 37% believe that the community leader should primarily focus on road repairs and safety in the city. A total of 29% consider combating land theft a priority, 26% point to waste collection and removal, 25% to drinking water quality, and 14–16% mention street lighting, increasing the number of schools and kindergartens, sidewalk repairs, water supply, and sewerage.
- The activities of President Zelensky are approved by 25% of respondents and disapproved by 61%. Only 9% approve of the work of Prime Minister Shmyhal, 63% disapprove, and 28% found it difficult to assess. The activities of parliament are approved by 7% and disapproved by 82% of respondents.
- The work of the Bila Tserkva mayor, Hennadii Dykyi, is approved by 66% of respondents and disapproved by 26%. A total of 67% are not opposed to the incumbent mayor being re-elected, while 27% stated the need to elect a new figure.
- A total of 79% said they would definitely take part in the local elections, another 7% are undecided (50/50), 3% may take part, and 10% say it is unlikely they will vote. A relatively higher level of pre-election mobilization is observed among the older population.
- In the city council rating, the party “Za Maibutnie” is in the lead with 40.5% among those who intend to vote and have made their choice. It is followed by the party “Bila Tserkva Razom,” which is supported by 23.6%. A total of 7.0% would vote for the “Batkivshchyna” party, 6.8% for “European Solidarity,” 5.6% for the “Servant of the People” party, and 3.7% for the “Opposition Platform – For Life” party. The rating of other political forces is below 3%. About 10% remain undecided.
- Among mayoral candidates, Hennadii Dykyi is the leader with 53.6% among those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. A total of 27.8% are ready to support Mykola Babenko. The ratings of other candidates are below 4%. About 5% of respondents have not decided whom they will vote for.
- Modeling of the second round of mayoral elections showed that if H. Dykyi were to advance to the runoff against other potential candidates, the incumbent mayor would win. In a matchup with M. Babenko, the result would be 60% versus 31%, and in a matchup with D. Kyryshun, 68% versus 9%.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of the Bila Tserkva ATC aged 18 and older. The sample is representative in terms of age and gender.
- Sample size: 800 respondents.
- Survey method: face-to-face formalised interviews.
- Research representativeness error: no more than 3.5%.
- Fieldwork dates: 25-26 September 2020.
.webp)
