18.09.2020
Monitoring of local elections 2020: VINNYTISA region
- The results of the survey conducted by Rating Group between 1–13 September among residents of Vinnytsia region show that people in the region assess the local situation significantly more positively than the overall situation in the country. Only 13% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 69% hold the opposite view. Assessments of the situation in the oblast are more optimistic: 33% believe that affairs in the region are moving in the right direction, while 43% believe they are moving in the wrong direction. Evaluations at the local level are even more positive, with 44% saying that the situation in their cities or villages is developing in the right direction and 43% expressing the opposite opinion.
- Among respondents, feelings of disappointment prevail at 38%. At the same time, 28% report feeling hope, 13% interest, 11% joy, and around 8–9% indifference, sadness, anger, or confusion.
- Volodymyr Groysman leads the trust ranking among national politicians. He is trusted by 61% of respondents and not trusted by 31%. Volodymyr Zelenskyy is trusted by 31% and not trusted by 61%. Petro Poroshenko is trusted by 21% and not trusted by 72%. Yuliya Tymoshenko is trusted by 19% and not trusted by 74%. Ihor Smeshko is trusted by 16%, not trusted by 43%, and 33% say they do not know him. Yuriy Boyko is trusted by 14%, not trusted by 55%, and 21% say they do not know him.
- Regarding the performance of public authorities, 25% are satisfied with the work of President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, while 65% are dissatisfied. The work of Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal is approved by 11% and disapproved by 62%, while 27% could not assess it. Only 8% are satisfied with the work of the Verkhovna Rada, while 81% are dissatisfied.
- A total of 67% of respondents stated that they will definitely take part in the local elections. Another 14% are undecided (50/50), 5% say they might participate, and 12% say participation is unlikely. A relatively higher readiness to vote is observed among older respondents and residents of rural areas.
- In the ranking of political forces in the elections to the oblast council, the Ukrainian Strategy party is in the lead, supported by 33.2% of those who have decided and intend to vote. This is followed by Servant of the People with 15.8%, Batkivshchyna with 10.8%, European Solidarity with 10.7%, Opposition Platform – For Life with 6.0%, the Radical Party with 4.6%, the Vinnytsians party with 4.4%, and Strength and Honor with 3.4%. The ratings of other parties are below 3%, while around 20% of respondents remain undecided.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of Vinnytsia region aged 18 and older. The sample is representative in terms of age and gender.
- Sample size: 1,200 respondents (margin of error no more than 2.8%).
- Survey method: face-to-face formalised interviews.
- Fieldwork dates: 1-13 September 2020.
.webp)
