22.12.2021
Social and political sentiments: results of 2021 (16-18 December 2021)
- According to a survey conducted by the Rating Group, the top three achievements of Ukraine in 2021, according to respondents, are the victory of boxer Oleksandr Usyk (35%), the success of Ukrainian Paralympians in Tokyo (32%) and the Great Construction programme (31%).
- About 20% also named the expansion of the DIA app services, mass vaccination, and the national football team's advancement to the quarter-finals of Euro 2020 as major victories.
- Another 15% chose the performance of Ukrainian athletes at the Summer Olympics and the implementation of the Ukrainian language service standard as major victories. 13-14% consider the adoption of the law ‘On Oligarchs’ and sanctions against Medvedchuk to be the main achievement, another 7-9% chose the launch of the land market and the open skies agreement with the EU, 4-5% - the ‘Crimean Platform’ and the success of ‘Go A’ at Eurovision. Only 2% said that there were no achievements this year.
- 14% responded that their sense of confidence in the future had improved over the past year, for 30% it had not changed, and for 53% it had worsened. According to the majority, the political and economic situation in Ukraine has deteriorated over the past year: 63% and 70% responded accordingly. About 20% believe that the situation has not changed, 12% believe that the political situation has improved, and 8% believe that the economic situation has improved.
- The financial situation of families remained unchanged for 40% over the year, worsened for 50%, and improved for only 9%. Despite sceptical responses, assessments of the political and economic situation improved slightly compared to December 2018. Residents of the capital and the youngest respondents are the most optimistic about changes in all these areas.
- Roads and digital technologies are the areas where Ukrainians have seen the most improvement over the past year. More than 60% of respondents noted an improvement in road conditions over the past year. Almost half of those surveyed noted positive developments in digital technologies in the public sector (DIYA app) (28% were unable to assess).
- Regarding Ukraine's international image, 20% saw an improvement (28% saw no change, 40% saw a deterioration), road safety – 19% (34% – no change, 41% – deterioration), quality of medical care – 17% (31% – no change, 45% – deterioration), quality of education – 12% (28% – no change, 40% – deterioration).
- About half of those surveyed saw no change over the year in the fight against corruption (37% noted a deterioration) and in resolving the war in Donbas (34% noted a deterioration).
- The majority also pointed to no change in areas such as the stability of the hryvnia exchange rate, freedom of speech and democracy.
- At the same time, most respondents felt that the situation with utility rates (80%) and prices for basic goods and medicines (90%) had worsened.
- About half of those surveyed saw a deterioration in the ability to find work (29% – no change, 11% – improvement) and in the quality of housing and utility services (37% – no change, 9% – improvement).
- If the presidential election were held in the near future, 24.2% would vote for Volodymyr Zelenskyi (among those who intend to vote and have made their choice).13.7% would support Petro Poroshenko, 9.6% – Yuliia Tymoshenko, 9.2% – Yurii Boiko, 6.9% – Yevhenii Murayev, 6.8% – Dmytro Razumkov, 6.7% – Ihor Smeshko, 6.2% – Volodymyr Groysman, 3.1% – Oleh Liashko. Support for other candidates is below 3%.
- The party ranking is led by the “Servant of the People” party, supported by 19.2% of those who intend to vote and have made their choice.14.1% would vote for “European Solidarity”, 11.1% – “Batkivshchyna”, 10.5% – “Opposition Platform – For Life”. “Ukrainian Strategy of Groysman” is supported by 6.8%, “Strength and Honor” – 6.5%, Razumkov’s party “Smart Politics” – 6.0%, Murayev’s party “Nashi” – 5.7%, the Radical Party – 4.2%, “UDAR of Vitali Klitschko” – 4.0%, VO “Svoboda” – 3.5%, Sharii’s Party – 2.6%, “Holos” – 2.2%. Support for other political forces is below 2%.
Methodology
- Audience: Ukrainian citizens aged 18 and older in all regions except the temporarily occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender and type of settlement.
- Sample size: 2,500 respondents.
- Survey method: CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews).
- The margin of error for the study with a confidence level of 0.95 is no more than 2.0%.
- Fieldwork dates: 16-18 December 2021.
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