03.08.2020
Social and political moods of Kyiv residents
- The results of the survey conducted by the Rating Group during 26–27 July 2020 among residents of Kyiv using a telephone survey method showed that city residents assess the local state of affairs better than the overall situation in the country. Thus, only 24% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 67% hold the opposite opinion. At the same time, 43% assess the situation in the city as moving in the right direction, while 49% consider it wrong. Since the spring of this year, local assessments have practically not changed, while assessments of the situation in the country have worsened. Young people and wealthier respondents give more optimistic assessments than other categories.
- 37% of respondents rated the overall performance of Vitalii Klitschko as Mayor of Kyiv as excellent or good. 39% gave satisfactory ratings, and 22% gave poor ratings. At the same time, 24% of Kyiv residents rated the performance of President Volodymyr Zelenskyy as good or excellent, 27% as satisfactory, and 48% as poor.
- 54% believe that the situation in Kyiv has improved during Vitalii Klitschko’s time as mayor. 30% did not see any changes. Only 15% believe that it has worsened. Compared to the end of last year, the number of those who saw positive changes during Mayor Klitschko’s tenure has increased.
- 62% of respondents, assessing their own attitude to the coronavirus epidemic, stated that they fear the economic consequences of this crisis for their families more than the possibility of getting sick. 29%, on the contrary, fear the disease more than the economic consequences.
- 33% rated Vitalii Klitschko’s work in overcoming the coronavirus crisis as excellent or good. 38% rated it as satisfactory, and 25% as poor. The work of President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in this area was rated as good or excellent by 26%, as satisfactory by 34%, and as poor by 37% of Kyiv residents.
- The leaders of the electoral rating of political forces in elections to the city council are the European Solidarity party, which would receive the votes of 19.8% of those who have decided and intend to vote, the Servant of the People party with a result of 19.3%, and the UDAR party with 17.1%. 8.0% would vote for the Opposition Platform – For Life party, 5.7% for the Batkivshchyna party, 5.0% for the Shariy party, 4.6% for the Holos party, 4.5% for the Victory of Palchevskyi party, 3.0% for the Strength and Honor party, and 2.5% for the Svoboda party. The ratings of other political forces are below 2%. About 11% of respondents are undecided. Since August of last year, the rating of the Servant of the People party has shown a stable negative trend, while the ratings of the European Solidarity and UDAR parties have shown a positive trend.
- In the ranking of candidates in the Kyiv mayoral election, the leader is Vitalii Klitschko, for whom 41.7% of those who have decided and intend to take part in voting would cast their votes. 11.6% would support S. Prytula, 9.4% I. Vereshchuk, 9.0% A. Palchevskyi, 5.4% O. Honcharenko, 4.5% O. Popov, 3.5% V. Rabinovych, 3.3% O. Omelchenko, 2.6% A. Illienko, and 2.1% V. Nestor. About 8.5% of respondents are undecided. Since August of last year, electoral support for V. Klitschko has almost doubled.
- Modeling of the second round of mayoral elections showed that if V. Klitschko and other potential candidates reached it, the incumbent mayor would win. In a pairing with I. Vereshchuk, the result would be 64% versus 22%; with O. Honcharenko, 68% versus 13%; with A. Palchevskyi, 67% versus 20%; and with S. Prytula, 63% versus 21%. From 13% to 20% of Kyiv residents have not yet decided on their choice or do not want to take part in voting in the indicated second-round combinations.
- Half of the respondents stated that they did not follow at all the recent primaries in the Servant of the People party, where the party’s candidate for mayor of Kyiv was selected. 35% said that they had heard something about this initiative. Only 14% stated that they followed it closely. The largest share of such respondents is among older respondents and voters of the Servant of the People party, the Victory of Palchevskyi party, the Shariy party, the Opposition Platform – For Life party, and the European Solidarity party.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of the city of Kyiv aged 18 and older. The sample is representative by age and gender.
- Sample size: 2000 respondents.
- Survey method: CATI (computer-assisted telephone interviews), based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers.
- Margin of error: no more than 2.2%.
- Fieldwork dates: 26–27 July 2020.
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