23.12.2020
Social and political mood of the population (16-20 December)
- According to the results of a survey by Rating Group conducted on December 16–20, 18% believe that overall affairs in Ukraine are moving in the right direction, while the majority (71%) hold the opposite view.
- More than 70% believe that the economic situation in Ukraine has worsened over the past six months, 17% think it has not changed, and only 7% have noticed an improvement. As for the financial situation of their families, 56% felt a deterioration, 37% reported no change, and only 7% reported improvement. Expectations for the future are also not very optimistic: only 16% believe that the economic situation in Ukraine will improve in the next 6 months, 32% believe it will not change, and 47% expect deterioration.
- Among the population, the prevailing emotions are disappointment (42%) and hope (32%).
- Citizens consider the key nationwide problems to be corruption, the war in Donbas, the economic crisis, incompetence of the authorities, and the coronavirus epidemic. At the personal level, low quality of healthcare is added to these problems, and the economic crisis already tops the “problem ranking.”
- Overall, most respondents see the cause of a possible economic crisis in the incompetence of the authorities (63%), although a quarter believe that the economic downturn will occur due to the coronavirus. Another 9% see the war in Donbas as the cause. At the same time, the share of those who explain the economic situation by the incompetence of the authorities has increased over the past six months from 53% to 63%.
- 32% of respondents are satisfied with the activities of President Zelenskyy, while 65% are not satisfied. 30% are satisfied with the work of the Head of the Verkhovna Rada Razumkov, 51% are not satisfied, and 19% could not assess it. 16% are satisfied with the activities of the Prime Minister, 65% are not satisfied, and 18% could not assess it. Citizens are least satisfied with the work of the Government and Parliament – almost 80% gave negative assessments, and only about 12% gave positive ones.
- 46% of respondents noted that what they like most about the new government is the desire for change, 17% – integrity, 13% – independence from oligarchs. When assessing features they do not like in the authorities, respondents were more definite: 40% said they dislike incompetence, 36% – dependence on oligarchs, 28% each – corruption and chaos, 14% – inefficiency. Over the past six months, assessments of inefficiency have decreased, while assessments of incompetence, corruption, and chaos have increased.
- Respondents are more likely not to support (58%) than to support (39%) the idea of the President’s resignation and early presidential elections. On the other hand, the idea of dissolving Parliament and holding early parliamentary elections is supported by more respondents (58%) than those who do not support it (39%). The initiative to dismiss the Government is supported by 60% of respondents, while 35% do not support it.
- The trust rating among national politicians is led by President Zelenskyy, who is trusted by 41% and not trusted by 56%.
- 30% of respondents trust V. Klitschko, while 58% do not trust him. V. Groysman is trusted by 29% and not trusted by 61%. D. Razumkov is trusted by 27% and not trusted by 30% (another 27% do not know him). Y. Tymoshenko is trusted by 25% and not trusted by 73%. Y. Boiko is trusted by 24% and not trusted by 55% (17% do not know him). P. Poroshenko is trusted by 23% and not trusted by 74%. V. Medvedchuk is trusted by 19% and not trusted by 66% (12% do not know him). The current Prime Minister D. Shmyhal is trusted by 16%, a quarter do not know him, and more than half do not trust him.
- The best trust/distrust balance is held by President Zelenskyy (-15%) and the Head of Parliament Razumkov (-13%). For V. Klitschko the difference is -28%, Y. Boiko – -31%, V. Groysman – -32%, D. Shmyhal – -38%. The worst indicators are for V. Rabinovych (-46%), V. Medvedchuk (-47%), Y. Tymoshenko (-48%), and P. Poroshenko (-51%).
- The presidential rating is led by V. Zelenskyy. If elections were held in the near future, he would be supported by 26.5% of those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. P. Poroshenko would receive 14.3%, Y. Boiko – 10.1%, Y. Tymoshenko – 9.8%. V. Medvedchuk – 7.7%, V. Groysman – 6.4%, I. Smeshko – 6.0%, D. Razumkov – 4.1%, O. Liashko – 3.6%. The rating of other candidates does not exceed 3%.
- In the parliamentary rating, the leading party is “Servant of the People,” which is supported by 21.1% among those ready to vote and who have decided on their choice. “Opposition Platform – For Life” would be supported by 17.3%, “European Solidarity” by 15.2%, and “Batkivshchyna” by 10.9%. 4.8% would support the Radical Party and the party “Ukrainian Strategy of Groysman,” 4.3% – the party “For the Future,” 3.8% – the party “Strength and Honor,” 3.5% – “Holos,” 3.4% each – the Shariy Party and VO “Svoboda,” and 3.3% – UDAR of Vitalii Klitschko. The rating of other political forces is below 2%.
Methodology
- Audience: Ukrainian citizens aged 18 and older in all regions except for the temporarily occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender, and type of settlement.
- Sample size: 2,000 respondents.
- Survey method: face-to-face formalised interviews.
- Representative error of the study: no more than 2.2%.
- Fieldwork dates: 16-20 December 2020.
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