07.09.2021
Social and political mood of the population (2–4 September 2021)
- The results of a survey conducted by the Rating Group between 2 and 4 September 2021 show that one third of respondents (34%) assess the country’s current direction as correct, while 58% consider it incorrect and 8% were unable to answer. Compared to July 2021, the share of those who view the direction of development as correct has increased (from 26%). This assessment is relatively more common among young people as well as residents of Western and Central Ukraine.
- The trust rating of politicians is led by Volodymyr Zelenskyi: 50% of respondents trust him, while 48% do not, meaning that he has regained a positive balance of trust, similar to the one he had during his first year in office. Dmytro Razumkov is trusted by 29% and not trusted by 32%, while 33% say they do not know him. Petro Poroshenko is trusted by 26% and not trusted by 71%. Yuliia Tymoshenko has the same level of trust (26%) with 72% distrusting her. Yurii Boiko is trusted by 23%, not trusted by 58%, and unknown to 16%. Denys Shmyhal is trusted by 17%, not trusted by 46%, while 30% have not heard of him. Viktor Medvedchuk is trusted by 15% and not trusted by 71% of respondents.
- If a presidential election were held in the near future, 31.1% of decided voters who intend to vote would support Volodymyr Zelenskyi. Compared to early August, his support increased from 27% to 31%. Petro Poroshenko would receive 13.3% of the vote, Yurii Boiko 10.9%, Yuliia Tymoshenko 9.2%, Ihor Smeshko 6.1%, Volodymyr Groysman 5.7%, Yevhenii Murayev 5.7%, Oleh Liashko 4.1%, Dmytro Razumkov 3.7%, and Arsenii Yatseniuk 3.1%. Support for other candidates does not exceed 2%.
- Petro Poroshenko leads the negative rating: 45% of respondents say they would not vote for him under any circumstances. Similarly, 38% would not vote for Yuliia Tymoshenko, 35% for Yurii Boiko, 25% for Oleh Liashko, and 24% for Volodymyr Zelenskyi. About one in six or seven respondents say they would never vote for Arsenii Yatseniuk, Oleh Tiahnybok, or Yevhenii Murayev.
- In the parliamentary race, the Servant of the People party remains in first place with 25.8% support among decided voters. European Solidarity would receive 14.1%, Opposition Platform – For Life 12.4%, and Batkivshchyna 10.6%. Other parties have significantly lower ratings: Strength and Honor is supported by 4.9%, Murayev’s Our Party by 4.7%, Ukrainian Strategy of Groysman by 4.5%, the Radical Party of Oleh Liashko by 4.2%, Sharii’s Party by 3.6%, UDAR of Vitalii Klitschko by 3.4%, and a hypothetical Prytula party by 3.2%. Support for other political forces does not exceed 3%.
- Among official Independence Day events, respondents rated the military parade in Kyiv most positively, with 44% expressing a positive assessment. The short film “DNA of Ukraine” received positive evaluations from 38% of respondents, President Zelenskyi’s speech at the parade from 36%, and the festive concert at the Olympic Stadium in Kyiv from 29%. Among those who actually watched these events, the short film “DNA of Ukraine” received the highest ratings, with 67% positive responses.
- Finally, 48% of respondents consider President Zelenskyi’s visit to the United States to have been successful, while 28% view it as unsuccessful. Another 17% said they were unaware of the visit or found it difficult to assess.
Methodology
- Audience: Ukrainian citizens aged 18 and older in all regions except for the temporarily occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender and type of settlement.
- Survey method: CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews). Based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers.
- Sample size: 2,500 respondents.
- The margin of error for the study with a confidence level of 0.95 is no more than 2.0%.
- Fieldwork dates: 2-4 September 2021
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