16.09.2020
Social and political mood of the population (3–6 September)
- According to the results of a survey conducted by Rating Group on 3–6 September 2020, 68% of respondents believe that affairs in Ukraine are moving in the wrong direction, while 18% assess the direction of development as correct.
- 63% of respondents are convinced that Ukraine’s economic situation over the past six months has rather deteriorated. Only 7% have seen an improvement, while 26% did not feel any changes. 49% of respondents spoke about a deterioration in the economic situation of their own family. Only 6% stated that their financial situation had improved, and 44% believe that nothing has changed.
- Assessing the near future, 32% do not expect any changes in the country’s economic situation over the next six months, 43% expect deterioration, while 15% expect improvement.
- 57% are convinced that the main reason why an economic crisis may occur this autumn is the incompetence of the authorities. 26% see the cause in the worsening of the coronavirus epidemic, and 8% in the continuation of the war in Donbas.
- 45% of respondents believe that the measures introduced by the authorities to combat coronavirus are optimal. 23% consider them too mild, while 18% consider them too strict. It is characteristic that since April the number of those who believe that anti-epidemic measures are too mild has been increasing, while at the same time the number of those who consider the measures too strict has also been growing.
- 61%, when assessing the risks from the epidemic, say that they fear the economic consequences of this crisis more than the disease itself. On the other hand, 29% are more afraid of the illness.
- 35% of respondents are satisfied with the activities of President V. Zelenskyy, while 57% are dissatisfied. 23% are satisfied with the activities of the Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada D. Razumkov, 55% are dissatisfied, and 23% could not assess. Only 14% are satisfied with the work of Prime Minister D. Shmyhal, while 59% are dissatisfied and 27% could not assess. Among central government bodies, respondents are most dissatisfied with the work of the Government (73%) and the Verkhovna Rada (76%).
- Among security agencies, respondents assessed the army most favorably: 51% are satisfied and 32% are dissatisfied. 33% positively assessed the work of the National Guard, while 43% hold the opposite view and 25% could not assess. Assessments of other law enforcement agencies are somewhat worse. Thus, 26% are satisfied with the work of the police and 63% are dissatisfied. 23% are satisfied with the activities of the Security Service of Ukraine, 50% are dissatisfied, and 27% could not assess. 20% are satisfied with the Ministry of Internal Affairs, 63% are dissatisfied, and 17% could not assess. 13% are satisfied with the Prosecutor General’s Office, 64% are dissatisfied, and 24% could not assess. Only 11% are satisfied with the activities of the courts, while 69% are dissatisfied and 20% could not assess. Respondents are least satisfied with the activities of anti-corruption bodies — NABU, NACP, and SAP. Only 7–10% of respondents spoke favorably about their work, while more than 60% held the opposite opinion.
- Assessing the influence of key politicians and heads of institutions on government ratings, respondents relatively better evaluated the work of the Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada D. Razumkov. 25% believe that his activities positively affect the popularity of the current governing team, while the same share holds the opposite opinion. 18% believe that his work has no impact on these indicators, and 32% could not answer at all.
- Regarding other key politicians, respondents’ opinions are as follows. 13% believe that the activities of Prime Minister D. Shmyhal positively affect government ratings, while 32% hold the opposite view. 13% believe that the activities of Minister of Internal Affairs A. Avakov have a positive impact, while 41% think otherwise. 10% believe that the activities of the Head of the Presidential Office A. Yermak positively affect government ratings, while 32% think the opposite. 8% believe that the activities of the head of the Servant of the People parliamentary faction D. Arakhamia have a positive impact, while 28% hold the opposite view. Only 6% believe that the activities of Prosecutor General I. Venediktova and NABU Director A. Sytnyk positively affect government ratings, while about one third hold the opposite opinion.
- In the presidential rating, the leader is V. Zelenskyy, whom 29% of those who have decided and intend to participate in voting are ready to support. 15.5% would vote for Y. Boyko, 14% for P. Poroshenko, 9.3% for Y. Tymoshenko, 6.4% for I. Smeshko, and 3.6% each for O. Lyashko, S. Prytula, and V. Groysman. The rating of other candidates is below 3%. About 14% have not decided.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older in all oblasts, except for the temporarily occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender, and settlement type.
- Total sample: 2000 respondents.
- Personal formalized interview (face-to-face).
- The margin of error with a 0.95 confidence level does not exceed 2.2%.
- Fieldwork dates: 3-6 September, 2020
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