Socio-political mood in Lviv region

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05.07.2016

Socio-political mood in Lviv region

According to a survey conducted by Rating Group, the highest levels of trust in Lviv Oblast are held by Nadiia Savchenko, Andrii Sadovyi, and Mikheil Saakashvili. A similar picture is observed in the city of Lviv, where Anatolii Hrytsenko also enjoys a high level of trust. The lowest levels of trust are recorded for Yurii Boiko and Arsenii Yatseniuk. Over the past year, Sadovyi, Petro Poroshenko, and Yatseniuk have lost the most trust, while Yuliia Tymoshenko’s indicators have improved. Overall, politicians enjoy slightly higher levels of trust in the oblast than in the city of Lviv.
If parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, the following parties would cross the 5% threshold in Lviv Oblast: Samopomich (22.8%), Batkivshchyna (12.6%), Petro Poroshenko Bloc “Solidarity” (9.8%), as well as Civic Position (6.7%), Svoboda (6.1%), and the Radical Party (5.9%). Mikheil Saakashvili’s party “Movement for Purification” would receive 4.2%, and Dmytro Yarosh’s National Movement 3.1%. 17% of respondents were undecided. In the oblast overall, Batkivshchyna, BPP Solidarity, and the Radical Party have stronger support, whereas in the city of Lviv, Samopomich, Civic Position, and Saakashvili’s party perform better. Young people and respondents with higher education are more likely to support Samopomich, while older and less educated respondents are more inclined toward Batkivshchyna.
More than 40% of respondents support snap parliamentary elections and new presidential elections, about the same share oppose these initiatives, and 15% are undecided. Support for early elections is strongest among residents of Lviv and among voters of Batkivshchyna and Civic Position.
If presidential elections were held next Sunday, Andrii Sadovyi would receive 15.9%, Yuliia Tymoshenko 10.5%, Petro Poroshenko 10%, and Anatolii Hrytsenko 9.8%. Oleh Liashko would get 5.2%, Dmytro Yarosh 5.1%, and Oleh Tiahnybok 3.8%. 22.6% remain undecided. Over the past year, Sadovyi and Tymoshenko have gained support, while Poroshenko has lost the most, and Hrytsenko’s rating has also slightly declined.
More than 40% of respondents are satisfied with the performance of Lviv Mayor Andrii Sadovyi, while 56% are dissatisfied. 21% are satisfied with the work of Lviv Oblast Governor Oleh Syniutka, 41% are dissatisfied, and almost 40% are undecided. Only 10% are satisfied with the work of Lviv Oblast Council Head Oleksandr Hannushchyn, 30% are dissatisfied, and nearly two thirds cannot assess his performance. Although Sadovyi still has the highest approval, support for his work has fallen sharply over the past year, from 70% to 41%.
Only 19% of respondents believe that Ukraine is moving in the right direction, while about two thirds think it is moving in the wrong direction. Assessments of the situation in Lviv Oblast are somewhat better: 28% say it is moving in the right direction and 48% in the wrong one, with nearly a quarter undecided.
More than half (53%) of respondents believe that fighting corruption in local government should be a top priority, followed by solving the landfill and waste problem (42%), reducing unemployment (40%), and restraining growth in utility tariffs (38%). Over the past year, the importance of waste management, healthcare support, and environmental issues has increased. In Lviv, waste management, healthcare, and crime are more acute concerns, while in other cities of the oblast road repairs and support for vulnerable groups are more pressing.
Regarding the Hrybovychi landfill tragedy, 30% place primary blame on the Lviv city authorities, 23% on the oblast authorities, 16% on the central government, 4% on the Hrybovychi village authorities, 14% on others, and 15% are undecided.
An overwhelming 85% believe that waste processing is the best solution for Lviv’s garbage problem, compared to 9% who favor incineration. 90% support building a waste-processing plant as the solution, 3% favor modernizing the existing landfill in Hrybovychi, 1% support opening a new landfill near Lviv, and 5% are undecided.

Methodology