17.08.2020
Social and political moods of residents of the Ivano-Frankivsk Territorial Community
- Results of the survey conducted by Rating Group during August 1–9, 2020 among residents of the Ivano-Frankivsk City Amalgamated Territorial Community showed that respondents assess the local situation more positively than the overall situation in the country. Thus, only 14% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 67% hold the opposite view. At the same time, 73% of community residents believe that affairs in their settlements are going in the right direction, while 18% hold the opposite opinion.
- The cost of utility services (35%), poor condition of city roads (31%), drug addiction and alcoholism (25%), and traffic congestion in city streets (25%) are the local problems that most often concern community residents. Chaotic construction of high-rise buildings is a problem for 21% of respondents. Lack of jobs, presence of stray animals on the streets, low professional level of medical staff, corruption in local authorities, condition of residential buildings and surrounding areas concern 16–19%, while city pollution concerns 14%.
- Community residents are dissatisfied with the activities of the central authorities. 64% of respondents negatively assess the work of President Zelenskyy, while 23% assess it positively. The activities of Prime Minister D. Shmyhal are viewed negatively by 57%, positively by 15%, and 29% could not assess them. The work of the Verkhovna Rada is assessed negatively by 81%, while only 8% are satisfied.
- 90% positively assess the activities of the Mayor of Ivano-Frankivsk, R. Martsinkiv, while only 5% assess them negatively. 61% are satisfied with the work of the city council, 16% are dissatisfied, and 24% could not assess it.
- Among key sectors, the community is most satisfied with the work of public transport (71%). коммунальні services satisfy 47% and dissatisfy 41%; educational institutions satisfy 43%, dissatisfy 23%, and 33% could not assess them. Police work satisfies 38%, dissatisfies 35%, and 27% could not assess it. Medical institutions satisfy 34%, dissatisfy 48%, and 18% could not assess them. Compared to the end of 2019, assessments of the work of the city council, public transport, educational and medical institutions have deteriorated.
- Respondents are rather distrustful of national-level politicians. Thus, P. Poroshenko has a relatively higher level of trust (trust – 30%, distrust – 62%). O. Tiahnybok is trusted by 29% and distrusted by 59%. V. Zelenskyy is trusted by 27% and distrusted by 64%. A. Hrytsenko is trusted by 27%, distrusted by 47%, and 18% do not know him. I. Smeshko is trusted by 20%, distrusted by 36%, and 37% do not know him. Y. Tymoshenko is trusted by 18% and distrusted by 75%. Y. Boyko is trusted by only 6%, distrusted by 58%, and 30% do not know him.
- Among local politicians, respondents have the most positive attitude toward R. Martsinkiv (85% positive, 11% neutral, 4% negative). O. Shevchenko is viewed positively by 36%, neutrally by 30%, negatively by 18%, and 16% do not know him. P. Shkutiak is viewed positively by 16%, neutrally by 25%, negatively by 16%, and 42% do not know him. Y. Solovei is viewed positively by 14%, neutrally by 23%, negatively by 14%, and 50% do not know him. More than 70% of respondents do not know other politicians.
- In the rating of political forces for elections to the Verkhovna Rada, the leaders are the parties “European Solidarity,” which 23.6% of those who have decided and intend to vote are ready to support, and the All-Ukrainian Union “Svoboda,” which would be supported by 20.5% of such respondents. The party “Servant of the People” is supported by 14.5%, “Batkivshchyna” by 9.8%, “Holos” by 8.5%, and “Strength and Honor” by 4.7%. The rating of other political forces is below 3%. About 18% have not decided.
- In the rating of political forces for elections to the city council, the clear leader is the All-Ukrainian Union “Svoboda,” which 51.4% of those who have decided and intend to vote are ready to support. “European Solidarity” is supported by 12.2%, “Servant of the People” by 7.6%, “Batkivshchyna” by 7.1%, and “Holos” by 4.9%. The rating of other political forces is below 3%. Those who have not decided account for 19–20%.
- Among mayoral candidates, the leader in the rating is Ruslan Martsinkiv, whom 88.0% of those who have decided and intend to vote are ready to support. The ratings of other candidates are significantly lower. Thus, 4.8% would support O. Shevchenko, 1.4% P. Shkutiak, and 1.1% A. Korniienko. The ratings of others are below 1%. About 6% have not decided.
- 84% of respondents stated that they do not oppose R. Martsinkiv becoming Mayor of Ivano-Frankivsk again. Only 13% believe that the city needs a new mayor.
- Modeling of a second round of mayoral elections showed that if R. Martsinkiv were to face other potential candidates, the incumbent mayor would win. In a pair with Y. Solovei the result would be 91% versus 2%, with I. Melnyk 90% versus 2%, with O. Shevchenko 87% versus 8%, and with P. Shkutiak 89% versus 3%.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of Ivano-Frankivsk United Local Community aged 18 and older. The sample is representative in terms of age and gender.
- Total sample: 1000 respondents.
- Personal formalized interview (face-to-face).
- The margin of error does not exceed 3.1%.
- Period of the survey: 1-9 August, 2020.
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