13.03.2013
Ratings of politicians in Kyiv elections: March 2013
- According to the results of a survey conducted by the Rating Group, if the Kyiv mayoral election had taken place in early March 2013, about 55% of voters would have definitely participated.
- If the Kyiv mayoral election had been held in early March 2013, among those intending to vote, 31% would have supported Vitalii Klychko, 20.3% — Oleksandr Popov, and almost 7% — Petro Poroshenko.
- About 4% of voters would have supported Andrii Illienko and Oleksandra Kuzhel each, about 2% — Anatolii Hrytsenko. More than 1% — Oleh Liashko, Oleksandr Omelchenko, and Mykola Katerynchuk. About 3% would have voted for other candidates, while one quarter were undecided.
- Clear trends are observed: the younger the respondents, the more often they support Vitalii Klychko; the older the respondents, the more often they support Oleksandr Popov and Petro Poroshenko.
- If the Kyiv mayoral election had taken place in two rounds and Oleksandr Popov and Vitalii Klychko had advanced to the second round, 26.5% of respondents (among those intending to vote) would have supported the incumbent city head, 60.4% — the UDAR party leader, and 13.1% would have been undecided.
- If the second round had been between Oleksandr Popov and Petro Poroshenko, 36.6% would have supported the incumbent city head, 41.5% — Petro Poroshenko, and 21.9% would have been undecided.
- If the second round had been between Oleksandr Popov and Mykola Katerynchuk, 41.2% would have supported the incumbent city head, 35% — the leader of the European Party, and 23.9% would have been undecided.
- Interestingly, 35% of Kyiv residents would have liked to see Vitalii Klychko as the Mayor of Kyiv and almost as many (37%) — as the leader of the UDAR faction in the Verkhovna Rada. At the same time, 15% would not have wanted to see him in either role, and 13% were undecided.
- It is characteristic that two-thirds of Klychko’s own voters would have preferred to see him specifically as Mayor of Kyiv, and only one in five — as leader of the UDAR faction in parliament. Among supporters of Oleksandra Kuzhel, half supported Klychko as mayor and half — in parliament. Supporters of other candidates would have preferred to see Klychko mainly in parliament.
Methodology
- Survey population: residents of Kyiv aged 18 and over
- Sample size: 1,060 respondents
- Method: telephone survey; sample representative by age, gender, and districts of Kyiv
- Margin of error (95% confidence):
- near 50%: ≤ 3.1%
- near 30%: ≤ 2.8%
- near 10%: ≤ 2%
- Fieldwork period: February 25 – March 6, 2013
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