02.07.2020
Ukraine: assessment of the social and political situation
- According to the results of the survey conducted by Rating Group during the fieldwork dates of June 24–28, 2020, 22% of respondents assess the direction in which the country is moving as right, 63% as wrong, and another 15% were unable to answer. Over the past month, a decline in positive assessments of the situation in the country has been observed, from 32% to 22%.
- Two thirds of respondents noted a deterioration of Ukraine’s economic situation over the past six months, almost a quarter believe it has not changed, and 9% believe it has improved. Half of respondents reported a deterioration in the economic situation of their own families, almost 40% indicated no changes, and 9% saw an improvement. Over the next six months, about 40% expect a deterioration of the country’s economic situation, 31% expect no changes, and 17% expect an improvement.
- Fifty-three percent believe that an economic crisis in the autumn of this year may occur due to the incompetence of the authorities. Thirty-two percent believe that the cause may be the coronavirus, while only 6% believe that the war in Donbas could be the cause.
- Among the emotions that best reflect the current state, the most prevalent were disappointment (41%) and hope (30%). They are followed by sadness (15%), fear, anger, confusion, and interest (11% each), joy and indifference (9% each), and surprise (7%).
- Thirty-six percent are satisfied with the activities of President Zelenskyy, while 52% are dissatisfied. Twenty-one percent are satisfied with the work of the Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, Razumkov, 51% are dissatisfied, and 28% were unable to assess his work. Satisfaction with the work of the Parliament and the Government is significantly lower. Only 9% positively assessed the activities of the Verkhovna Rada, while 76% assessed them negatively. Nine percent expressed satisfaction with the activities of Prime Minister Shmyhal (56% are dissatisfied, and 36% were unable to assess). Only 8% are satisfied with the work of the Cabinet of Ministers, while 71% are dissatisfied, and every fifth respondent did not answer this question.
- The parliamentary rating is led by the Servant of the People party, which would be supported by 29.3% among those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. The Opposition Platform – For Life party would receive 15.3%, European Solidarity 13.6%, and Batkivshchyna 10.7%. Strength and Honor and the Shariy Party would each receive 3.7%, the Radical Party 3.5%, Holos 3%, Svoboda 2.5%, and the Ukrainian Strategy party 2.2%. About 20% have not decided on their party preferences.
- If presidential elections were held in the near future, 34.6% of those who have decided and intend to participate in the elections would vote for V. Zelenskyy. Eleven point four percent would support P. Poroshenko, 11.2% Y. Boiko, 7.2% Y. Tymoshenko, and 6.7% I. Smeshko. Support for other candidates is below 4%. About 15% remain undecided.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older in all oblasts, except for the temporarily occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender, and settlement type.
- Personal formalized interview (face-to-face).
- Total sample: 2000 respondents.
- The margin of error with a 0.95 confidence level does not exceed 2.2%.
- Fieldwork dates: 24-28 June, 2020
.webp)
