10.10.2012

Electoral moods: District 121

  • According to the results of a survey conducted by the Rating Group, the leader of electoral preferences in district #121 (Drohobych) is the Batkivshchyna party, which would be supported by 41.5% of respondents who intend to take part in the elections (85% in total).
    UDAR is supported by 21.3%, and almost the same number support Svoboda (20.9%).
    The ratings of other parties are significantly lower. About 2% are ready to vote for Our Ukraine and the Party of Regions. Every tenth respondent has not yet decided on party preferences.
  • VO Batkivshchyna enjoys greater support in villages (45%) than in cities (40%). Our Ukraine also has higher support in villages. Svoboda and UDAR, on the contrary, are more strongly supported in cities.
    UDAR is supported much more by young people, while Batkivshchyna is supported more by older voters. Svoboda has a fairly even age structure. There are also more older people among the undecided.
    Among supporters of UDAR and Svoboda there are more employed people and those with higher education. UDAR and Svoboda are supported more by men, while Batkivshchyna is supported more by women.

CANDIDATE RATINGS

  • The leader of electoral preferences in the district among candidates is R. Ilyk. If elections were held in the near future, 31.5% of respondents who intend to vote would support him.
    12.6% would vote for M. Zadorozhnyi, 8.9% for O. Starovoit, 8.1% for I. Kurus. About 4% are ready to support V. Vozniak. More than 12% would support other candidates. About 22% remain undecided.
  • R. Ilyk mobilizes 60% of Batkivshchyna supporters and almost 30% of Svoboda supporters.
    At the same time, almost a quarter of Svoboda supporters back M. Zadorozhnyi.
    Supporters of UDAR are largely uninterested in these candidates: almost 40% of them are ready to vote for O. Starovoit, one quarter are undecided, and only 7% each would vote for R. Ilyk or M. Zadorozhnyi.
  • O. Starovoit and V. Vozniak are supported more by young people; one quarter of voters aged under 29 are also found among the undecided. R. Ilyk and M. Zadorozhnyi are supported more by older people.
    Men support O. Starovoit and V. Vozniak more, while women more often support the Batkivshchyna candidate R. Ilyk.
    Among R. Ilyk’s supporters, the non-employed dominate, as well as among O. Starovoit’s supporters — in the first case due to a high share of older people and women, and in the second due to a large share of youth.
    Among supporters of I. Kurus and V. Vozniak, the employed predominate.

Methodology

  • Survey population: residents of Drohobych district aged 18 and older (cities of Drohobych, Truskavets, Boryslav, Stebnyk, and rural areas).
  • Sample size: 1,000 respondents.
  • Method: face-to-face formalized interviews.
  • Margin of error (for the district overall):
    – near 50%: not more than 3.1%
    – near 30%: not more than 2.8%
    – near 10%: not more than 1.9%
  • Fieldwork period: September 27 – October 4, 2012.
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