16.10.2020
Monitoring of local elections 2020: Kropyvnytskyi
- The results of a survey conducted by Rating Group between October 3–10 among residents of Kropyvnytskyi showed that 67% said they would definitely take part in the local elections, another 22% were undecided about participation, and 10% said it was unlikely that they would vote. Voter mobilization is relatively higher among older respondents and women.
- In the rating for the Kropyvnytskyi City Council, the party Proposition is leading with 26.9% among those who intend to vote and have made up their minds. It is followed by the party City Perspective, supported by 18.8%, Servant of the People with 11.4%, Opposition Platform – For Life with 9.7%, European Solidarity with 8.4%, Batkivshchyna with 7.0%, For the Future with 4.4%, and Native City with 4.3%. The rating of other parties is below 3%. About 11% of respondents remain undecided.
- Among mayoral candidates, the leader is Andrii Raikovych, with 49.2% among those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. Artem Stryzhakov is supported by 24.9%, Anatolii Larin by 8.0%, Olha Kovalova-Alokili by 6.9%, and Oleksandr Tsertii by 4.4%. The ratings of other candidates are below 3%. About 12% of respondents have not yet decided whom they will vote for.
- Modeling of a possible second round of the mayoral election showed that if A. Raikovych were to advance to the runoff against other potential candidates, the incumbent mayor would win. In a matchup with A. Stryzhakov, the result would be 56% versus 33%; with A. Larin, 65% versus 18%; and with O. Kovalova-Alokili, 66% versus 17%.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of Kropyvnytskyi aged 18 and older. The sample is representative in terms of age and gender.
- Sample size: 1,103 respondents.
- Survey method: face-to-face formalised interviews.
- Research representativeness error: no more than 3.0%.
- Fieldwork dates: 3-10 October 2020.
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