19.10.2020
Monitoring of local elections 2020: Oleksandriia
- The results of a survey conducted by the Sociological Group Rating on 16–18 October among residents of Oleksandriia showed that city residents assess the local situation relatively more positively than the situation in the country as a whole. Thus, 76% believe that affairs in the state are developing in the wrong direction, while only 15% think they are moving in the right direction. With regard to the city, 39% believe that things are moving in the right direction, while 48% think they are moving in the wrong direction. The dynamics of overall public sentiment in the city show a negative trend.
- A total of 68% said they would definitely take part in the local elections, another 14% are undecided about participation, 4% may take part, and 13% say it is unlikely they will vote. Voter mobilization is relatively higher among older respondents.
- Modeling a possible worsening of the epidemiological situation in the city slightly reduces overall voter mobilization. In this case, 61% said they would definitely take part in the local elections, another 16% are undecided, 5% may take part, and 16% say it is unlikely they will vote. Despite this, older respondents still express the greatest willingness to come to polling stations.
- In the rating for the Oleksandriia City Council, the party “Proposition” is leading with a rating of 29,3% among those who intend to vote and have made their choice. It is followed by the party “Opposition Platform – For Life,” which is supported by 17,9%, “European Solidarity” with 10,4%, “Batkivshchyna” with 8,4%, “Servant of the People” with 8,3%, “Strength of People” with 6,3%, and the Radical Party of Lyashko with 5,6%. The ratings of other parties are below 4%. About 19–20% are undecided.
- Among mayoral candidates, Serhii Kuzmenko is the leader with 61,4% among those who intend to vote and have made their choice. 36,9% are ready to support Stepan Tsapiuk, and 0,9% Volodymyr Trofymenko. About 10% of respondents have not yet decided whom they will vote for.
- A total of 85% of respondents said they are confident in their choice of mayoral candidate. Confidence is relatively higher among supporters of S. Kuzmenko, at 88%.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of Oleksandriya aged 18 and older. The sample is representative in terms of age and gender.
- Sample size: 800 respondents.
- Survey method: face-to-face formalised interviews.
- Research representativeness error: no more than 3.5%.
- Fieldwork dates: 16-18 October 2020.
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