09.09.2020

Dynamics of electoral moods and expectations from local elections

  • According to the results of a survey conducted by the Rating Group during August 29 – September 3, 2020 using the CATI method (computer-assisted telephone interviews), President V. Zelenskyy leads the trust rating among key national politicians. 44% of respondents trust the Head of State, while 51% do not trust him. 24% trust Y. Boyko and 58% do not trust him, 22% trust Y. Tymoshenko and 74% do not trust her, and 22% trust P. Poroshenko while 75% do not trust him.
  • The level of trust in President V. Zelenskyy (44%) is higher than that recorded during the same period of the presidential terms of P. Poroshenko (25%) and V. Yanukovych (26%).
  • 56% believe that the situation at the regional level will not change after the local elections. 27% expect improvement, and only 8% expect deterioration.
  • 59% stated that they will definitely take part in the local elections on October 25, 2020. 19% stated that their chances of participation are “50 to 50”, 7% said that they might come to the polling stations, and 14% assessed their participation in the local elections as unlikely. A relatively higher level of pre-election mobilization is observed among the oldest respondents.
  • In the parliamentary rating, the Servant of the People party is the leader, which 25.7% of those ready to vote and who have decided on their choice are ready to support. 16.7% are ready to vote for the Opposition Platform – For Life party, 15.6% for the European Solidarity party, and 9.4% for the Batkivshchyna party. 6% of respondents would support the Radical Party, 4.3% the Holos party, 4.0% the Strength and Honor party, and 3.5% the Shariy party. The rating of other political forces is below 3%. About 14% have not decided.

Methodology

  • Audience: residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older in all oblasts, except for the temporarily occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender, and settlement type.
  • Total sample: 10000 respondents.
  • Survey method: CATI (computer-assisted telephone interviews). Based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers. The margin of error does not exceed 1.0%.
  • Fieldwork dates: 29 August - 3 September, 202