15.07.2019

Electoral attitudes: Constituency No. 96 (July 6–11, 2019)

  • According to a survey conducted by the Rating Group in July 2019 among residents of single-member constituency No. 96 (centered in Vyshhorod, Kyiv Oblast):
  • Voter turnout intentions:
    63% of respondents said they were definitely ready to participate in the parliamentary elections; another 14% said they were rather likely to vote. 19% stated they would not participate, and 4% were undecided.
  • Party preferences (among decided voters who intend to vote):
    • Servant of the People — 50%
    • Batkivshchyna — 8.9%
    • European Solidarity — 8.4%
    • Holos — 7.1%
    • Opposition Platform – For Life — 4.9%
    • Strength and Honor — 4.4%
    • Radical Party — 4.3%
    • Ukrainian Strategy of Groysman — 2.1%
    • Other parties — <2%
  • Single-member district candidates (among decided voters who intend to vote):
    • Yaroslav Moskalenko — 33.0%
    • Olha Vasylevska-Smahliuk — 25.5%
    • Roman Bukovskyi — 10.2%
    • Serhii Zamidra — 6.5%
    • Liudmyla Voinalovych — 4.1%
    • Oleksandr Bovsunskyi — 4.0%
    • Tetiana Brazhnikova — 3.8%
    • Other candidates — <2%
      Overall, about 40% of constituency residents had not yet decided on their preferences.
  • Perceived likelihood of winning:
    20.4% believe Yaroslav Moskalenko will win and become an MP; 14.5% say the same about Olha Vasylevska-Smahliuk. For other candidates, this figure is below 3%.

Methodology

  • Audience: Residents of constituency No. 96 aged 18+
  • Sample: 1,600 respondents; representative by age, gender, and type of settlement
  • Method: Face-to-face interviews
  • Margin of error: ≤ 2.4%
  • Fieldwork dates: July 6–11, 2019