09.09.2010
Electoral mood of the population of the city of Vinnytsia: August 2010
- The leaders of preferences in the presidential rating are Viktor Yanukovych (20% among all respondents), Yuliya Tymoshenko (18%) and Serhiy Tihipko (12%).
They are followed by Arseniy Yatsenyuk (5%), while Petro Symonenko, Anatoliy Hrytsenko and Oleh Tyahnybok each have about 2%. Support for Viktor Yushchenko is below 1%.
At the same time, almost every sixth resident of Vinnytsia does not intend to support any candidate, and every tenth is undecided. - The situation at the party level (elections to the Verkhovna Rada) practically reproduces this configuration, with the difference that the Party of Regions (20%), Batkivshchyna (17%) and Front for Change (5%) have support at the level of their leaders’ ratings, Strong Ukraine (7%) has lower support, while Svoboda (3%) and the Socialist Party of Ukraine (3%) have higher support.
- In the local elections, the situation is somewhat different.
It should be noted immediately that the survey was conducted under the version of the local election law in force at that time, and some parties were excluded from the ballot for the city council elections.
The electorate of the Party of Regions is mobilized worse in local elections than in parliamentary ones, while Batkivshchyna supporters are, on the contrary, more mobilized. Accordingly, among respondents who intend to participate in the local elections, Batkivshchyna becomes the leader, while the Socialist Party, Svoboda and Our Ukraine also gain support. - Thus, in the elections to the Vinnytsia City Council the leaders are Batkivshchyna (24%) and the Party of Regions (22%).
They are followed by the Socialist Party (5%), Svoboda (5%), Our Ukraine (3%) and the Communist Party (3%).
10% do not support any party, 20% are undecided — among them, in particular, most supporters of Strong Ukraine and Front for Change. These parties were not included on the ballot, while their parliamentary-election ratings are 7% and 5% respectively. - In total, 41% of city residents said they will definitely participate in the local elections on October 31, and 29% rated the likelihood of their participation as high.
- The actions of the local authorities are generally recognized by respondents as effective in the following areas:
public transport services (efficiency index — the difference between positive and negative evaluations — is +64),
waste collection and removal (+58),
maintenance of roads and sidewalks (+52),
urban improvement and landscaping (+51%). - Relatively effective:
water supply and sewerage (+30),
development of culture and spirituality (+12),
heating supply (+9),
construction of children’s and sports playgrounds (+3). - Low effectiveness:
education (–11) and assistance to low-income groups (–36). - Ineffective:
medical services for city residents (–49),
fight against corruption (–63),
creation of new jobs (–65),
tariff policy in the housing and utilities sector (–71).
Methodology
- Survey population: residents of the city of Vinnytsia aged 18 and older.
- Sample size: 800 respondents.
- Method: face-to-face formalized interview using a questionnaire.
- Sampling error: for values close to 50% — no more than 2.8%, close to 30% — no more than 2.4%, close to 10% — no more than 1.7%.
- Fieldwork period: August 21–31, 2010.
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