28.09.2020
Monitoring of local elections 2020: KHERSON
- The results of a survey conducted by Rating Group between September 17 and 23, 2020 among residents of Kherson showed that respondents assess the situation both in the city and in Ukraine equally pessimistically. Thus, only 9% of respondents said that affairs in the city are moving in the right direction, while 77% believe the opposite. Regarding Ukraine, only 12% state that the direction of development in the country is correct, while 73% consider it incorrect.
- A total of 58% said they would definitely take part in the local elections. Nineteen percent of respondents do not intend to vote. A relatively higher level of electoral mobilization is observed among women, older respondents, and lower-income respondents.
- Among mayoral candidates, Ihor Kolykhaiev is the leader with 31.2% among those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. A total of 23.2% are ready to support Volodymyr Saldo, 13.4% Yurii Kyrylov, 8.6% Mykhailo Opanashchenko, and 5.3% each Ivan Hlukhiv and Vasyl Fedin. A total of 3.3% would support Mykola Kononenko. The ratings of other candidates are below 3%. About 13% of respondents have not decided whom they will vote for.
- Modeling of the second round of mayoral elections showed that if Ihor Kolykhaiev and Volodymyr Saldo were to advance to the runoff, the leader of the party “Nam tut zhyty!” would win with a result of 57% versus 34% among those who intend to vote. In a matchup with Yurii Kyrylov, Ihor Kolykhaiev would also win, with a result of 59% versus 25%.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of Kherson aged 18 and older. The sample is representative in terms of age and gender.
- Sample size: 800 respondents.
- Survey method: face-to-face formalised interviews.
- Research representativeness error: no more than 3.5%.
- Fieldwork dates: 17-23 September 2020.
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