16.11.2021
Social and political mood of the population (10-13 November 2021)
- The results of a survey conducted by the Sociological Group “Rating” on 10–13 November 2021 show that 23% of respondents believe the country is moving in the right direction, while 69% consider it to be moving in the wrong direction, and 8% were unable to answer. Over the past two months, the share of those who believe the country is developing in the wrong direction has increased (in early September it was 58%). The proportion of those who view the direction of the country’s development as correct is relatively higher among young people and voters of the Servant of the People party.
- The trust rating among politicians is led by Volodymyr Zelenskyi, who is trusted by 38% of respondents, while 59% do not trust him. Yuliia Tymoshenko is trusted by 27% and not trusted by 71%. Petro Poroshenko is trusted by 25% and not trusted by 73%. Yurii Boiko is trusted by 24%, not trusted by 59%, and 12% say they do not know him.
- If a presidential election were held in the near future, 23.1% would vote for V. Zelenskyi (among those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice). 13.3% would support P. Poroshenko, 10.7% — Yu. Tymoshenko, 9.2% — Yu. Boiko, 8.3% — D. Razumkov, 7.0% — Ye. Murayev, 6.9% — I. Smeshko, 6.1% — V. Groysman, and 3.3% — O. Liashko. Support for other candidates is below 3%.
- The anti-rating is led by P. Poroshenko, with 44% saying they would not vote for him under any circumstances. 35% would not vote for Yu. Boiko, 34% — for Yu. Tymoshenko, 32% — for V. Zelenskyi, 26% — for A. Yatseniuk, 22% — for O. Liashko, and 21% — for V. Klychko. Every sixth to seventh respondent would not vote under any circumstances for Ye. Murayev or V. Groysman.
- Second-round presidential election modelling produced the following results. President Zelenskyi wins in all hypothetical pairings with his closest opponents. In a Zelenskyi–Poroshenko matchup, the result is 59% vs. 41% (among those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice). In a Zelenskyi–Tymoshenko matchup, the result is also 59% vs. 41%, and in a Zelenskyi–Boiko pairing, 62% vs. 38%.
- The party ranking is led by the Servant of the People party, supported by 18.0% of those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice. European Solidarity stands at 13.9%, Opposition Platform – For Life at 10.7%, and Batkivshchyna at 10.1%. Support for other political forces is somewhat lower: Razumkov’s “Smart Politics” — 7.9%, Strength and Honor — 6.4%, Murayev’s “Nashi” — 5.5%, Ukrainian Strategy of Groysman — 5.0%, the Radical Party — 4.5%, UDAR of Vitalii Klychko — 3.7%, Sharii’s Party — 3.1%, and Svoboda — 2.1%. Support for all other political forces is below 2%.
Methodology
- Audience: Ukrainian citizens aged 18 and older in all regions except for the temporarily occupied territories of Crimea and Donbas. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender and type of settlement.
- Survey method: CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews). Based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers.
- Sample size: 2,500 respondents.
- Representative error of the study with a confidence level of 0.95: no more than 2.0.
- Fieldwork dates: 10-13 November 2021
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