22.07.2020
Social and political moods of Chernihiv region
- The results of the survey conducted by the Rating Group during 8–20 July 2020 among residents of Chernihiv Oblast showed that respondents assess the local situation better than the overall situation in the oblast or the country. Only 16% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 65% hold the opposite view. 30% assess the situation in the oblast as correct, while 46% consider it incorrect. At the same time, 44% of oblast residents believe that affairs in their localities are moving in the right direction, while 43% think otherwise. Younger and more affluent respondents more often give optimistic assessments at all levels.
- The military conflict in eastern Ukraine (57%) and lack of jobs and unemployment (44%) top the list of nationwide problems among respondents. At the national level, respondents are also concerned about low wages and pensions (31%), the inability to obtain quality medical care (25%), the coronavirus epidemic (22%), and bribery and corruption in government (18%). Personally, respondents most often consider low wages and pensions to be their main problem (41%). The war in the East personally concerns 35%, lack of work 31%, increases in utility tariffs 19%, the coronavirus epidemic 15%, bribery and corruption in government 15%, and rising prices for basic goods 13%.
- Among regional problems, residents are most concerned about employment issues (50%) and poor-quality medical services (44%). Poverty concerns 33%, industrial decline 31%, the dying out of villages 28%, decline of agriculture 25%, poor road conditions 24%, land theft 22%, and drug addiction and alcoholism 20%.
- Two thirds of respondents are satisfied with the work of city and village mayors, while one third are dissatisfied. More than 60% were unable to assess the work of the heads of the Chernihiv Regional State Administration and the Chernihiv Regional Council. 13–18% of respondents expressed satisfaction with their activities, while 18–20% were dissatisfied.
- 32% of respondents are satisfied with the activities of President Zelenskyy, while 49% are dissatisfied. 48% are dissatisfied with the activities of Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal, 10% are satisfied, and 42% could not assess his performance. 76% are dissatisfied with the work of the Verkhovna Rada, while only 8% are satisfied.
- Among local politicians, the most positive attitude is toward the Mayor of Chernihiv, Vladyslav Atroshenko, with 48% expressing a positive attitude, 18% a neutral one, 4% a negative one, and 30% saying they do not know him. Volodymyr Dubil is viewed positively by 16%, neutrally by 17%, negatively by 10%, while 57% do not know him. Valerii Kulich is viewed positively by 10%, neutrally by 14%, negatively by 8%, and 68% do not know him. More than 70% of respondents do not know other politicians.
- In the rating of political forces for elections to the oblast council, the leader is the Servant of the People party, supported by 21.0% of those who have decided and intend to vote. The Native Home party is supported by 18.7%, Batkivshchyna by 16.5%, the Radical Party by 12.9%, European Solidarity by 6.3%, Opposition Platform – For Life by 6.2%, Nash Krai by 4.4%, and Strength and Honor by 3.1%. The ratings of other political forces are below 3%. About 20% are undecided.
- In the rating of political forces for elections to the Chernihiv City Council, the leader is the Native Home party, which 46.6% of decided voters intending to participate in the elections are ready to support. The Servant of the People party is supported by 9.9%, Opposition Platform – For Life by 9.8%, Batkivshchyna by 8.2%, European Solidarity by 5.8%, and the Radical Party by 5.5%. The ratings of other political forces are below 3%. About 17% are undecided.
- Among candidates for Mayor of Chernihiv, the clear leader is Vladyslav Atroshenko, supported by 88% of those who have decided and would take part in voting. The ratings of other candidates are significantly lower: 2.0% would support V. Antoshyna, 1.9% Y. Vlasenko, 1.6% O. Seminskyi, and 1.0% each A. Poliakov and O. Sokolov. About 10% are undecided.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of Chernihiv oblast aged 18 and older. The sample is representative in terms of age and gender.
- Total sample: 1200 respondents.
- Personal formalized interview (face-to-face).
- The margin of error does not exceed 2.8%.
- Fieldwork dates: 8-20 July, 2020.
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