27.07.2020
Social and political moods of residents of Ternopil
- The results of the survey conducted by the Rating Group on 23 July 2020 among residents of Ternopil showed that city residents assess the local state of affairs much more positively than the overall situation in the country. Thus, only 21% believe that the country is moving in the right direction, while 70% believe it is moving in the wrong direction. At the same time, 67% of city residents believe that things in the city are going in the right direction, and only 25% hold the opposite view. Compared to last year, assessments of the national situation have worsened, while assessments of the local situation have improved.
- 78% positively assess the performance of the Mayor of Ternopil, S. Nadal, while 20% assess it negatively. Almost 40% were unable to assess the performance of the Head of the Ternopil Regional State Administration, V. Trush, and the same share assessed his work negatively. 21% gave positive evaluations.
- 33% are satisfied with the performance of President Zelenskyi, while 65% are dissatisfied. 37% are satisfied with the performance of the Speaker of the Verkhovna Rada, D. Razumkov, while 50% are dissatisfied. 21% are satisfied with the performance of Prime Minister D. Shmyhal, 62% are dissatisfied, and 17% were unable to assess his work.
- Among local politicians, city residents have the most favorable attitude toward S. Nadal: 78% positive and 19% negative. Toward S. Barna, 40% have a positive attitude, 41% a negative one, and 14% do not know him. Toward M. Ratushniak, 33% have a positive attitude, 17% a negative one, and 44% do not know him. Toward R. Zastavnyi, 29% have a positive attitude, 54% a negative one, and 13% do not know him. Toward V. Hevko, 20% have a positive attitude, 17% a negative one, and 59% do not know him. Toward V. Ovcharuk, 19% have a positive attitude, 15% a negative one, and 64% do not know him. Toward V. Blikhar, 18% have a positive attitude, 18% a negative one, and 59% do not know him. More than 70% of respondents do not know the other politicians included in the list.
- In the ranking of political parties in the elections to the Ternopil City Council, the leaders are the Svoboda party, supported by 22.3% of those who have decided and intend to vote, and the European Solidarity party, supported by 20.7%. The Servant of the People party is supported by 13.9%, Batkivshchyna by 7.3%, Holos by 7.0%, the Ukrainian Galician Party by 5.2%, the Power of People party by 4.3%, the Civic Position party by 3.7%, and the Samopomich party by 3.3%. The rating of other political forces is below 3%. About 12% have not decided.
- Among mayoral candidates, the leader in the ranking is Serhii Nadal, whom 66.3% of those who have decided and intend to participate in the elections are ready to support. The ratings of other candidates are significantly lower. Thus, 6.5% could support V. Hevko, 5.9% V. Ovcharuk, 4.5% M. Ratushniak, 4.4% M. Cherkashyn, 3.4% V. Blikhar, 3.1% I. Turskyi, 1.1% O. Stanko, and 0.9% A. Liubetskyi. About 9% have not decided.
- Modeling of the second round of mayoral elections showed that if S. Nadal and other potential candidates reached it, the incumbent mayor would win. In a pairing with V. Hevko, the result would be 74% versus 12%; with V. Blikhar, 75% versus 12%; and with V. Ovcharuk, 73% versus 13%. About 15% of respondents have not yet decided or do not want to participate in voting in the specified second-round combinations.
Methodology
- Audience: residents of Ternopil aged 18 and older. The sample is representative in terms of age and gender.
- Total sample: 800 respondents. The margin of error with 0,95 confidence level does not exceed 3.5%.
- Survey method: CATI (computer-assisted telephone interviews). Based on a random sample of mobile phone numbers.
- Period of the survey: 23 July, 2020.
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