08.04.2014
Support of the activities of state institutions and the electoral orientation of citizens
- According to a nationwide survey conducted by Rating Group in cooperation with the Razumkov Centre in late March and early April 2014, public attitudes toward key state institutions and political leaders were highly differentiated. Acting President Oleksandr Turchynov received full support from 21.1% of respondents, while 32.8% said they supported some of his actions and 38.5% did not support his activities. Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk was viewed more favorably: 30.8% fully supported his work, 28.0% supported some of his actions, and 35.5% did not support him. The Cabinet of Ministers as a whole was fully supported by 20.6% of respondents, partially supported by 33.9%, and not supported by 36.8%, while the Verkhovna Rada received full support from 15.6%, partial support from 38.7%, and no support from 38.0%.
- Support for the security institutions was the highest it had been in several years. The Armed Forces were fully supported by 37.6% of respondents and partially supported by another 30.9%, with only 22.8% expressing no support. The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) was fully supported by 17.5% and partially supported by 32.3%, while 34.7% did not support its activities. The police were fully supported by 13.6% and partially supported by 32.5%, while 42.2% expressed no support. Levels of support for state institutions were significantly higher in the Western and Central regions than in the South and East. For example, only 15.5% in the West and 24.1% in the Center did not support the acting president, compared with 46.7% in the South and 64.2% in the East.
- Electoral mobilization was very high: 85.4% of respondents said they intended to participate in the early presidential election, including 62.2% who were fully certain and another 23.2% who said they were likely to vote. If the election had taken place in the days of the survey, Petro Poroshenko would have received the support of 28.2% of all respondents. Yulia Tymoshenko followed with 13.0%, Serhiy Tihipko with 6.1%, Olha Bohomolets and Oleh Liashko with 3.7% each, Mykhailo Dobkin with 3.6%, Petro Symonenko with 3.2%, Anatoliy Hrytsenko with 3.0%, Oleh Tiahnybok with 1.6%, Dmytro Yarosh with 1.2%, Renat Kuzmin with 0.2%, and Vadym Rabinovych with 0.1%.
- Compared with the previous joint survey conducted by four polling organizations in mid-March 2014, when Vitali Klitschko was still included in the list of candidates, electoral support increased for Petro Poroshenko, Yulia Tymoshenko, and Serhiy Tihipko.
Methodology
- Survey population: population of Ukraine aged 18 and over
- Sample size: 3,011 respondents
- Method: face-to-face interviews
- Margin of error (95% confidence):
- near 50%: ≤ 1.9%
- near 30%: ≤ 1.7%
- near 10%: ≤ 1.1%
- near 5%: ≤ 0.8%
- Fieldwork period: March 28 – April 2, 2014
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