22.06.2010

Who is Ukraine cheering for at the 2010 FIFA World Cup?

  • About 40% of the adult population of Ukraine aged 18 and over intend to follow the course of events of the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa. Thus, 22% intend to follow most of the matches, from the group stage through to the final; 8% — the playoff matches and the final; and 9% — only the final.
  • More than others, people in Western, Northern, and Central Ukraine intend to follow the Championship. Slightly fewer — in the East, South, and Donbas. It is notable that the number of big-football fans is practically the same in cities and in villages.
  • By age — these are young people and middle-aged people, predominantly with a high level of education.
  • Almost two thirds of men and almost every fifth woman will follow the Championship.
  • According to political sympathies, the Championship interests supporters of Oleh Tyahnybok, Anatolii Hrytsenko, and Volodymyr Lytvyn the most. It interests supporters of Yuliia Tymoshenko and Viktor Yanukovych the least.
  • The majority of respondents will support the national teams of Brazil (30%), Italy (24%), Germany (23%), and England (20%). Slightly fewer — the teams of Spain (15%), France (15%), and Argentina (14%).
  • It is pleasant to note that practically every national team has found its supporters at the Championship. 7% will support Portugal, 4% — the Netherlands, 3% each — the USA and Greece, 2% each — Uruguay, Australia, and Paraguay. The teams with the fewest supporters are those from the East: Japan, Korea, and North Korea.
  • Thus, the West will support Brazil, Italy, and England; the Center, North, and East — Brazil, Italy, and Germany; the South — Brazil and Germany; Donbas — Brazil, Italy, and Argentina.
  • For youth, the favorite is Italy; older people will support in a more classical way — Brazil and Germany.
  • Men and women will support the national teams of Italy and England in equal measure. But for the teams of Spain, Brazil, and Argentina, supporters will be predominantly men.
  • In villages people will support Brazil, England, and Argentina; in cities — Spain and Italy.
  • For supporters of Anatolii Hrytsenko, the unquestioned favorite is Spain; of Volodymyr Lytvyn — Argentina and England; of Oleh Tyahnybok — Brazil and Argentina; of Serhii Tihipko — Italy, England, and formerly France; of Petro Symonenko — Brazil; of Arsenii Yatseniuk — Germany and Spain; of Yuliia Tymoshenko — England and Italy; of Viktor Yanukovych — Brazil and Germany.
  • The majority of surveyed fans bet on a victory of the Brazilian national team (20%). Almost twice fewer bet on Italy (12%), Germany (11%), and England (10%). Then come Spain (8%) and Argentina (7%).
  • France disappointed 5% of respondents who had bet on it. 3% bet on a victory of Portugal and 1% — of the Netherlands. It should be noted that among supporters of the Brazilian team there are the most people who are confident specifically in its victory at the World Cup (51%). Next in confidence in the victory of their favorite team come supporters of England (47%), Italy (45%), Spain (45%), Argentina (42%), Portugal (41%), and Germany (40%).
  • Another interesting fact: on the victory of such teams as Spain, Argentina, and Germany, football experts bet more — respondents who intend to follow the entire Championship; at the same time, everyone bets on the victory of Brazil.
  • In addition, it is quite possible that by the end of the Championship, when the circle of favorites narrows, fans’ sympathies will change. And if, for example, the Brazilian team reaches the final, it is not a fact that the majority of citizens will support it, since European teams in general have more supporters in Ukraine.

Methodology

  • Survey audience: population of Ukraine aged 18 and older.
  • Sample size: 2000 respondents.
  • Method: face-to-face formalized interview.
  • Margin of error: for values close to 50% — not more than 3%; close to 30% — not more than 2.6%; close to 10% — not more than 1.8%.
  • Fieldwork period: June 11–17, 2010.
  • Regions:
    • West: Volyn, Zakarpattia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, Rivne, Ternopil, Chernivtsi
    • Center: Vinnytsia, Kirovohrad, Poltava, Khmelnytskyi, Cherkasy
    • North: Kyiv city, Kyiv oblast, Zhytomyr, Sumy, Chernihiv
    • South: AR Crimea, Odesa, Kherson, Mykolaiv, Sevastopol
    • East: Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv
    • Donbas: Donetsk, Luhansk
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